@stpnswss

#204,97190

0x4c6a6b11b6217cebfd830d4d846dea3b00d22436

~44d· 42 markets · 160 tradesVol: $93,316 @derschweis3042026-08-04 22:43:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (33/39)20/20
548.75x (win $137 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.77115/15
Sortino 1943.00710/10
$+0.0025 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 542 (39 markets)9.8/10
27/29 profitable days (93%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $137)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+137
Whale
$55,360 invested
Consistent
27/29 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
19 wins in a row

Categories

5
CRYPTO#101,434$90Vol: $85,402
🏛️ POLITICS#97,705$42Vol: $6,321
💰 FINANCE#84,161$4Vol: $1,446
💻 TECH#50,091$1Vol: $103
🎭 CULTURE#184,209$1Vol: $44

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$137
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,316
Total Redeem
$920
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
89B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$137
Vol: $93,316

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
33W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$137
Win Rate
85%
33W / 6L
Profit Factor
548.76x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $57 (0.4188470228117484% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$12
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10?$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 21?$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 23?$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 24?$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 20?$6
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 22?$3

Top Losers

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.451
Sortino
inf
HHI
545
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
35.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.2h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4106s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.54
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 7:22:49 PM2 trades$3,6790 min
6/15/2026, 7:24:16 AM8 trades$3,5111 min
6/23/2026, 4:24:16 PM4 trades$3,4911 min
6/22/2026, 5:31:20 PM6 trades$3,4870 min
6/21/2026, 7:58:22 PM1 trades$3,4810 min
7/4/2026, 7:47:58 PM1 trades$3,1590 min
6/13/2026, 5:03:34 PM1 trades$2,9720 min
7/19/2026, 9:54:24 AM2 trades$2,6353 min
6/14/2026, 8:17:34 AM4 trades$2,6221 min
6/9/2026, 2:47:01 PM6 trades$2,6210 min
6/17/2026, 7:16:58 AM1 trades$2,6160 min
6/24/2026, 8:30:50 PM1 trades$2,3570 min
7/7/2026, 10:48:04 PM1 trades$1,8450 min
6/18/2026, 3:33:37 PM8 trades$1,8004 min
7/1/2026, 2:29:26 PM1 trades$1,7630 min
7/1/2026, 2:46:05 PM1 trades$1,3950 min
6/24/2026, 5:40:23 PM1 trades$1,0930 min
6/27/2026, 4:31:56 PM9 trades$1,0401 min
6/9/2026, 4:28:49 PM1 trades$9990 min
6/19/2026, 2:20:32 AM1 trades$9990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
03-17
04-23
06-15
06-19
06-23
07-01
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100