elkeson-hang

@elkeson-hang

#116,90576

0x4c8aa3866efe4dd9557db04328dafdb9ae3e4926

~61d· 135 markets · 240 tradesVol: $90,948 @polymarket_pure2026-08-04 18:54:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (102/135)20/20
1.34x (win $3,417 / loss $2,553)6.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.58715/15
Sortino 2.48910/10
$+0.0130 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 461 (135 markets)10/10
41/59 profitable days (69%)9.9/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($722 / $1,388)3.6/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+491
Whale
$66,458 invested
Consistent
41/59 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,660,910$-89Vol: $37,623
🎭 CULTURE#46,961$22Vol: $35,497
🌤️ WEATHER#16,984$18Vol: $11,618
🏛️ POLITICS#315,933$1Vol: $771
CRYPTO#259,092$8Vol: $258
💰 FINANCE#474,807$-1Vol: $55

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$491
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$90,948
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
135
total markets
Trades
154B / 86S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
102W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$491
Win Rate
76%
102W / 33L
Profit Factor
1.34x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-80

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,700 (3.459644267165941% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$700
Lakers vs. Hornets$500
Warriors vs. Thunder$500
Pistons vs. Nets$180
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$119
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?$88
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)$88
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?$76
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner$59
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?$59

Top Losers

Lakers vs. Hawks$-610
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$-386
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?$-240
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?$-200
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?$-100
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?$-100
76ers vs. Bulls$-100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?$-100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?$-100
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.082
Sortino
0.085
HHI
359
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
33.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.78
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)8.4%
High (>55c)87.7%

Sessions

#12
7/5/2026, 3:02:31 PM2 trades$8,0000 min
3/28/2026, 7:06:19 AM6 trades$4,6701 min
3/13/2026, 2:31:59 PM1 trades$4,6000 min
3/16/2026, 3:31:35 AM1 trades$4,6000 min
4/2/2026, 8:35:49 AM2 trades$4,6000 min
3/12/2026, 9:52:35 AM1 trades$4,5790 min
3/18/2026, 8:54:01 AM2 trades$4,5000 min
3/26/2026, 9:12:59 AM2 trades$4,5000 min
3/27/2026, 11:57:29 AM2 trades$4,5001 min
6/28/2026, 4:18:22 AM70 trades$3,2051 min
11/12/2025, 2:13:52 AM1 trades$2,3750 min
3/11/2026, 11:51:37 AM1 trades$2,3670 min
3/11/2026, 3:22:57 PM2 trades$2,2070 min
3/20/2026, 1:53:03 PM2 trades$2,0001 min
3/27/2026, 6:45:11 AM1 trades$2,0000 min
3/27/2026, 7:00:39 AM1 trades$1,9970 min
11/11/2025, 5:14:10 AM2 trades$1,8851 min
11/10/2025, 12:41:34 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
6/28/2026, 2:11:52 PM14 trades$1,4960 min
11/9/2025, 6:57:05 AM1 trades$1,3000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
11-12
12-21
01-12
01-27
02-15
03-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 53 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.9 / M8.4 / H87.7