@defillama7

#70984

0x4c8cdcdd4c92bf44e74a642254f7414de14de36f

~41d· 38 markets · 3858 tradesVol: $2,693,5722026-08-03 16:02:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (21/32)17.8/20
4.66x (win $766,853 / loss $164,563)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.05915/15
Sortino 30.99610/10
$+0.4370 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2825 (32 markets)0/10
9/16 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($76,703 / $678,993)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+287,538
DCA Master
Avg 103.8 entries/market
Whale
$1,378,313 invested
High Roller
$14,209/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#166$309,548Vol: $2,365,903
📈 ECONOMICS#682,838$-52,990Vol: $236,086
SPORTS#2,001$30,981Vol: $91,582

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$287,538
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,693,572
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
3203B / 655S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$-158
Vol: $2,082
Week
$-158
Vol: $2,333
Month
$2,799
Vol: $3,711
All Time
$287,538
Vol: $2,693,572

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
21W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$287,538
Win Rate
66%
21W / 11L
Profit Factor
4.66x
Avg Win
$36,517
Avg Loss
$-14,960

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $665,203 (2.313439796084308% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$440,189
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$203,314
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$21,700
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$16,812
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15,997
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13,942
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$10,830
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$10,395
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$9,177
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$7,124

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-43,322
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-33,087
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-28,818
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-22,114
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-16,359
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-9,633
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-4,563
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-3,630
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$-1,901
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$-879

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.307
Sortino
1.296
HHI
2537
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.473
Kelly %
20.4%
Half-Kelly
10.2%
Top-1 market
48%
Top-5 markets
73.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.8m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
40.3

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 3.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency0.4 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
103.75
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)30.4%
High (>55c)58.9%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 9:05:31 PM400 trades$390,99163 min
6/14/2026, 10:17:16 PM105 trades$181,9215 min
7/29/2026, 5:23:44 PM47 trades$74,06020 min
6/9/2026, 1:14:46 AM116 trades$66,23232 min
7/29/2026, 5:49:56 PM79 trades$49,4469 min
6/15/2026, 3:50:15 AM21 trades$45,8314 min
6/11/2026, 7:19:36 PM38 trades$41,96311 min
6/14/2026, 10:58:15 PM18 trades$38,1857 min
6/10/2026, 5:21:07 PM1 trades$32,0140 min
6/9/2026, 12:28:52 AM44 trades$29,5576 min
6/19/2026, 12:38:26 AM91 trades$27,04518 min
5/27/2026, 12:19:47 AM8 trades$24,3170 min
6/14/2026, 10:46:54 PM41 trades$23,1236 min
6/15/2026, 1:47:58 AM5 trades$19,4580 min
6/15/2026, 4:00:15 AM20 trades$19,36412 min
7/31/2026, 5:56:35 PM4 trades$19,0141 min
5/26/2026, 3:11:49 PM8 trades$14,8160 min
6/13/2026, 5:41:06 PM9 trades$13,7354 min
6/9/2026, 1:56:49 PM40 trades$13,7192 min
6/12/2026, 11:21:57 PM27 trades$13,67713 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
05-08
05-29
06-13
06-15
06-18
06-21
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 103.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.7 / M30.4 / H58.9