@0x4C8F99…2680

#21,65667

0x4c8f99e2d62d1b481b2972281a5305f921ce8cc2

~124d· 122 markets · 2710 tradesVol: $386,8932026-08-05 15:52:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (37/93)4.9/20
1.62x (win $49,248 / loss $30,457)10.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.23015/15
Sortino 4.25610/10
$+0.3784 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 712 (93 markets)8.9/10
21/52 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($13,950 / $32,385)5.4/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+6,120
Lottery Player
66% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#7,739$6,234Vol: $385,921
📢 MENTIONS#165,681$-118Vol: $638
💰 FINANCE#88,083$3Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,120
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$386,893
Total Redeem
$662
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
122
total markets
Trades
1917B / 793S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~124d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $30
Month
$1
Vol: $37
All Time
$6,120
Vol: $386,893

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
37W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$6,120
Win Rate
40%
37W / 56L
Profit Factor
1.62x
Avg Win
$1,331
Avg Loss
$-586

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42,626 (6.964636182720681% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$38,728
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?$2,257
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?$1,642
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?$1,282
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$634
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$581
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $548
Ducks vs. Wild$399
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$391
Hurricanes vs. Flyers$375

Top Losers

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-9,846
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$-2,943
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-2,806
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-2,228
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,868
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1,487
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1,373
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$-1,097
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?$-980
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-892

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.064
Sortino
0.187
HHI
1716
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.290
Kelly %
1.9%
Half-Kelly
0.9%
Top-1 market
32.7%
Top-5 markets
71.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 948s — normal for humanCV 4.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.51
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.9%
Mid (20-55c)8.3%
High (>55c)25.8%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 8:11:38 PM4 trades$3,1580 min
6/18/2026, 11:35:34 PM1 trades$2,7900 min
5/21/2026, 4:15:30 PM3 trades$2,1490 min
5/21/2026, 5:26:15 PM2 trades$2,0560 min
11/14/2025, 4:25:24 AM2 trades$1,7730 min
4/26/2026, 6:19:10 PM27 trades$1,70812 min
5/14/2026, 9:24:17 PM1 trades$1,4330 min
4/15/2026, 3:28:16 PM19 trades$1,3799 min
5/6/2026, 2:44:21 PM1 trades$1,3450 min
5/4/2026, 2:41:22 PM2 trades$1,3150 min
4/30/2026, 11:51:42 PM13 trades$1,2935 min
5/5/2026, 2:31:32 AM15 trades$1,2699 min
4/30/2026, 3:01:46 PM19 trades$1,2654 min
5/4/2026, 12:28:36 AM21 trades$1,2316 min
5/6/2026, 10:07:34 AM2 trades$1,0600 min
4/24/2026, 3:43:38 AM10 trades$1,0592 min
4/8/2026, 12:39:05 AM4 trades$1,0100 min
4/1/2026, 9:28:57 PM18 trades$1,0021 min
3/26/2026, 6:30:01 PM2 trades$9921 min
7/12/2026, 1:05:04 PM5 trades$9582 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-13
04-07
04-21
05-02
05-15
06-04
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.51/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.9 / M8.3 / H25.8