@NFspec

#2,335,58916

0x4cb87641fc8e649fafe728d536785b5d26c0e737

~30d· 24 markets · 177 tradesVol: $34,8622026-08-04 22:03:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (7/16)6.9/20
0.41x (win $607 / loss $1,488)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6240/15
Sortino -5.8960/10
$-0.2766 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1379 (16 markets)5.6/10
6/14 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 901% of peak ($1,331 / $148)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,650,790$-81Vol: $22,029
🏛️ POLITICS#1,547,164$-146Vol: $7,475
📈 ECONOMICS#9,194$168Vol: $5,157
💰 FINANCE#54,435$10Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-48
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,862
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
124B / 53S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$30
Vol: $0
Week
$33
Vol: $200
Month
$23
Vol: $381
All Time
$-48
Vol: $34,862

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
7W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-48
Win Rate
44%
7W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$87
Avg Loss
$-165

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $455 (9.57719814892722% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$303
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$77
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?$76
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$53
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$45
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$36
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?$18

Top Losers

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-562
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-362
ECB rate hike in 2026?$-351
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?$-63
Lakers vs. Thunder$-62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$-44
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-30
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$-8
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.284
Sortino
-0.301
HHI
1813
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.254
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34%
Top-5 markets
78.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 148s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.56
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.5%
Mid (20-55c)21.8%
High (>55c)9.7%

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 7:57:40 PM10 trades$9111 min
6/22/2026, 8:38:25 PM7 trades$7034 min
4/18/2026, 11:11:02 PM11 trades$5703 min
5/6/2026, 11:06:40 AM2 trades$3550 min
5/13/2026, 10:55:41 PM8 trades$3340 min
5/5/2026, 10:40:52 PM9 trades$3223 min
3/1/2026, 3:00:13 PM4 trades$2846 min
3/20/2026, 5:54:45 PM3 trades$2743 min
3/2/2026, 12:08:31 AM1 trades$2570 min
2/28/2026, 7:10:45 PM1 trades$2000 min
4/24/2026, 11:07:40 PM50 trades$18434 min
8/2/2026, 8:29:11 PM2 trades$1680 min
2/28/2026, 9:41:35 PM1 trades$1500 min
4/25/2026, 7:19:24 AM1 trades$1100 min
3/6/2026, 9:20:33 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/6/2026, 9:35:15 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/22/2026, 12:43:53 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/26/2026, 4:19:01 PM1 trades$970 min
3/29/2026, 10:35:22 AM2 trades$961 min
3/8/2026, 10:47:19 PM1 trades$940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-08
03-17
03-20
03-26
05-03
05-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 66 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.5 / M21.8 / H9.7