@0x4ce3E2…9687

#2,787,43910

0x4ce3e2f318f2a0e3ad25ec55d1b7f072e8f4fd4f

~23d· 72 markets · 164 tradesVol: $5,2332026-08-04 23:53:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (20/72)0/20
0.48x (win $629 / loss $1,298)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.5280/15
Sortino -8.3980/10
$-0.5411 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 422 (72 markets)10/10
7/22 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 2142% of peak ($737 / $34)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,770,511$-312Vol: $5,233

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-312
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,233
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
81B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
20W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-312
Win Rate
28%
20W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $258 (0.8278457497918132% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$142
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$59
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$58
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?$49
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)$45
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$35
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$34
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$34
Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5$29
Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?$25

Top Losers

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-120
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$-80
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?$-80
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5$-70
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$-70
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-60
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$-60
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$-60
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$-60
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.436
Sortino
-0.574
HHI
282
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.512
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
23.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 297s — normal for humanCV 0.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.47
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.2%
Mid (20-55c)42%
High (>55c)30.9%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 1:09:07 PM6 trades$3210 min
6/20/2026, 4:57:26 PM6 trades$2641 min
5/10/2026, 4:03:09 AM2 trades$2110 min
6/26/2026, 6:58:25 PM6 trades$2000 min
3/20/2026, 9:56:35 PM9 trades$1808 min
6/20/2026, 5:23:01 PM4 trades$1670 min
6/20/2026, 5:04:40 PM7 trades$1561 min
6/21/2026, 2:42:08 AM6 trades$1353 min
7/5/2026, 8:17:13 PM6 trades$1333 min
5/2/2026, 1:02:34 PM8 trades$1292 min
4/12/2026, 2:59:15 AM4 trades$1240 min
6/23/2026, 8:07:26 PM5 trades$1185 min
6/23/2026, 12:31:22 AM2 trades$1060 min
6/23/2026, 12:20:25 AM2 trades$1000 min
5/10/2026, 12:32:04 AM2 trades$940 min
6/16/2026, 10:30:58 PM2 trades$910 min
6/16/2026, 10:56:02 PM2 trades$870 min
6/23/2026, 9:37:11 PM2 trades$830 min
6/26/2026, 11:12:14 PM2 trades$740 min
6/23/2026, 10:58:10 PM4 trades$731 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
04-26
05-30
06-16
06-21
06-27
07-06
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 100 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.47/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.2 / M42 / H30.9