@luisliu

#71,86684

0x4cff670cfe6ca3cfa50477c939149d1bd2017cdb

~37d· 97 markets · 631 tradesVol: $206,8992026-08-05 03:23:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (53/97)12.3/20
2.54x (win $7,002 / loss $2,757)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.66515/15
Sortino 15.26010/10
$+0.2004 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1263 (97 markets)6.2/10
17/31 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($1,092 / $4,245)8.9/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,239
DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
SPORTS#46,848$715Vol: $199,590
📈 ECONOMICS#5,127$440Vol: $3,648
🎭 CULTURE#16,312$151Vol: $2,491
🏛️ POLITICS#81,472$62Vol: $817
CRYPTO#1,500,816$-130Vol: $352

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,239
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$206,899
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
97
total markets
Trades
244B / 387S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
53W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$1,239
Win Rate
55%
53W / 44L
Profit Factor
2.54x
Avg Win
$132
Avg Loss
$-73

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,910 (3.1570546203221506% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,428
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$1,286
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$1,197
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$886
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$407
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$396
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$394
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$221
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$151
US government shutdown Saturday?$59

Top Losers

Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-702
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-468
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-421
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-420
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-172
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-98
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?$-71
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1?$-50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-40
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.292
Sortino
0.607
HHI
1386
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.190
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.8%
Top-5 markets
75.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 67s — normal for humanCV 3.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.86
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)20.5%
High (>55c)75.4%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 11:48:40 PM2 trades$5,8460 min
7/11/2026, 8:40:13 PM10 trades$3,9681 min
7/12/2026, 3:46:49 AM2 trades$3,6870 min
6/29/2026, 7:09:01 PM154 trades$3,4096 min
7/1/2026, 5:58:56 PM4 trades$3,2852 min
7/12/2026, 12:30:25 AM2 trades$1,8480 min
7/3/2026, 8:33:32 PM5 trades$1,7050 min
7/1/2026, 11:47:35 AM4 trades$1,6493 min
7/3/2026, 1:05:38 PM3 trades$1,6390 min
6/29/2026, 2:54:56 PM15 trades$1,4881 min
7/18/2026, 11:05:43 PM2 trades$1,0080 min
7/14/2026, 9:39:47 PM2 trades$8540 min
6/25/2026, 5:09:01 PM10 trades$8302 min
11/29/2025, 4:44:29 AM1 trades$6920 min
11/9/2025, 6:46:49 PM3 trades$3932 min
7/5/2026, 1:52:04 PM2 trades$3640 min
11/9/2025, 7:06:33 PM1 trades$3210 min
6/29/2026, 3:29:50 PM4 trades$2930 min
11/9/2025, 8:31:03 PM1 trades$2800 min
6/26/2026, 3:40:38 PM6 trades$2561 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
01-30
06-11
06-24
06-29
07-05
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 148 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M20.5 / H75.4