@0x4d0b…b099

#2,009,41126

0x4d0bed9bb2fae6a41dfc967de987f45a406bb099

~145d· 586 markets · 981 tradesVol: $3,1212026-08-04 16:19:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (246/579)6.2/20
0.47x (win $13 / loss $28)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3150/15
Sortino -1.3250/10
$-0.0051 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 21 (579 markets)10/10
102/145 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 1031% of peak ($22 / $2)0/10

Badges

3
Consistent
102/145 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#104,092$2Vol: $793
🏛️ POLITICS#1,311,719$-13Vol: $467
CRYPTO#1,200,583$-14Vol: $422
🎭 CULTURE#132,754$2Vol: $394
📈 ECONOMICS#95,510$2Vol: $207
SPORTS#384,688$2Vol: $181
🌤️ WEATHER#73,011$0Vol: $157
💻 TECH#49,695$1Vol: $58
📢 MENTIONS#57,795$0Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-17
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,121
Total Redeem
$348
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
586
total markets
Trades
875B / 106S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~145d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-17
Vol: $3,121

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
246W / 333L events
Realized PnL
$-17
Win Rate
42%
246W / 333L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.09101725163593098% of PnL)

Top Winners

XRP Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET$1
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?$0
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on December 3?$0
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?$0
Spread: Petrojet SC (-2.5)$0
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?$0
Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-07?$0
Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$0

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET$-10
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?$-9
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group B$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET$-3
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.069
Sortino
-0.019
HHI
21
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.29
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
52% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 0.29 — uniform order sizes11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal2.4 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.69
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
10/31/2025, 11:55:13 AM13 trades$631 min
11/4/2025, 11:58:27 AM12 trades$491 min
12/3/2025, 8:55:29 PM14 trades$462 min
11/21/2025, 8:55:13 PM12 trades$451 min
11/22/2025, 11:57:21 PM11 trades$451 min
11/15/2025, 11:53:16 PM12 trades$451 min
11/6/2025, 9:55:13 PM10 trades$451 min
12/10/2025, 11:55:20 PM10 trades$420 min
11/6/2025, 3:56:51 PM10 trades$391 min
12/12/2025, 8:55:27 PM10 trades$371 min
12/12/2025, 2:55:50 PM9 trades$370 min
12/5/2025, 8:55:25 PM12 trades$351 min
11/3/2025, 12:00:13 AM8 trades$351 min
11/29/2025, 11:55:24 PM11 trades$321 min
11/24/2025, 9:55:11 AM10 trades$311 min
11/1/2025, 11:56:33 AM6 trades$300 min
11/27/2025, 11:55:19 PM10 trades$300 min
12/7/2025, 11:55:25 PM11 trades$291 min
11/7/2025, 11:55:25 PM8 trades$290 min
11/20/2025, 8:56:01 PM8 trades$290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
11-25
12-31
02-07
04-22
05-27
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100