@0x4d2BFC…9873

#2,774,94523

0x4d2bfc2ae15b18e78853afe4de331c4feb75d9a5

~17d· 93 markets · 416 tradesVol: $11,1562026-08-05 04:18:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (46/93)9.7/20
0.76x (win $1,525 / loss $2,002)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3040/15
Sortino -6.4410/10
$-0.1134 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 384 (93 markets)10/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 653% of peak ($564 / $86)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,769,786$-308Vol: $8,821
CRYPTO#192,844$17Vol: $2,336

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-290
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,156
Total Redeem
$52
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
93
total markets
Trades
177B / 239S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
46W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-290
Win Rate
49%
46W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $689 (2.3734504132231407% of PnL)

Top Winners

Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5$270
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5$216
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5$203
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$123
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?$105
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$104
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5$51
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score$41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud$31
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5$29

Top Losers

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-288
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5$-240
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-209
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-200
Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5$-178
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 0.5$-140
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$-100
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5$-92
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$-85
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.320
Sortino
-0.335
HHI
398
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.113
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
35.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 161s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.47
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)32.8%
High (>55c)63.8%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 6:13:22 PM13 trades$80310 min
6/20/2026, 6:02:49 AM14 trades$7013 min
6/20/2026, 5:23:08 PM4 trades$6500 min
6/21/2026, 5:31:55 AM6 trades$4414 min
7/22/2026, 6:53:15 PM8 trades$4263 min
7/22/2026, 8:16:04 PM2 trades$4240 min
7/22/2026, 11:09:34 AM4 trades$3220 min
6/20/2026, 8:32:31 PM2 trades$3220 min
6/21/2026, 6:09:16 PM2 trades$2910 min
6/20/2026, 7:20:22 PM4 trades$2561 min
6/20/2026, 7:34:29 PM4 trades$2521 min
7/22/2026, 4:40:13 AM2 trades$2070 min
6/20/2026, 6:52:26 PM2 trades$1960 min
6/20/2026, 7:28:16 PM8 trades$1810 min
7/22/2026, 5:56:45 AM6 trades$1611 min
6/21/2026, 5:19:43 AM3 trades$1610 min
7/22/2026, 1:24:30 PM7 trades$1482 min
7/22/2026, 11:54:09 AM4 trades$1320 min
4/29/2026, 11:13:06 AM4 trades$1302 min
5/12/2026, 6:43:10 PM6 trades$1185 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
04-29
05-01
05-03
05-11
05-13
06-17
06-21
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.4 / M32.8 / H63.8