@Julius-Caesar

#8,35464

0x4d3a67bc314c3c14289d38e510dd53e7da0f64b7

~138d· 429 markets · 3162 tradesVol: $1,089,935 @PM_Caesar2026-08-04 18:12:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (227/429)11.5/20
1.22x (win $213,980 / loss $175,683)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.71915/15
Sortino 2.99910/10
$+0.0999 per $1 invested5/10
HHI 91 (429 markets)10/10
64/134 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 55% of peak ($20,924 / $38,297)3.1/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+18,658
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
9% sells
DCA Master
Avg 7.4 entries/market
Whale
$383,273 invested
High Roller
$1,317/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#3,021$18,646Vol: $1,089,760
🏛️ POLITICS#171,488$10Vol: $162
📈 ECONOMICS#78,612$3Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$18,658
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,089,935
Total Redeem
$90
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
429
total markets
Trades
2881B / 281S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~138d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
227W / 202L events
Realized PnL
$18,658
Win Rate
53%
227W / 202L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$943
Avg Loss
$-870

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38,820 (2.0805554156130786% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?$13,050
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?$13,030
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?$12,740
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?$11,200
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?$10,800
Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?$8,000
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-20?$7,600
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?$7,500
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-22?$6,200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?$4,800

Top Losers

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?$-7,950
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?$-6,900
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?$-6,150
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?$-5,000
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?$-5,000
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?$-4,950
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?$-4,100
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$-3,900
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?$-3,800
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-23?$-3,470

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.090
Sortino
0.133
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.100
Kelly %
15.5%
Half-Kelly
7.7%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
11%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.8m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 104s — normal for humanCV 3.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.6%
Mid (20-55c)47.3%
High (>55c)41.1%

Sessions

#12
3/14/2026, 2:48:51 PM19 trades$16,5579 min
3/15/2026, 4:48:05 PM29 trades$12,67413 min
2/19/2026, 6:44:26 PM30 trades$7,5005 min
3/15/2026, 4:31:45 PM14 trades$7,0501 min
2/21/2026, 12:08:42 PM11 trades$7,0500 min
3/20/2026, 3:26:07 PM7 trades$6,9003 min
3/4/2026, 7:35:09 PM93 trades$6,56015 min
2/23/2026, 4:56:18 PM1 trades$6,4000 min
2/22/2026, 12:17:30 PM1 trades$6,1500 min
3/4/2026, 3:20:43 PM20 trades$5,8502 min
2/22/2026, 1:33:50 PM1 trades$5,2000 min
2/21/2026, 5:25:16 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
2/26/2026, 4:26:08 PM3 trades$4,9505 min
2/21/2026, 11:10:58 AM15 trades$4,7003 min
2/16/2026, 6:23:17 PM1 trades$4,1000 min
3/21/2026, 12:40:05 PM1 trades$3,9000 min
2/21/2026, 4:28:32 PM3 trades$3,8804 min
3/15/2026, 3:19:05 PM5 trades$3,8002 min
2/22/2026, 1:02:00 PM16 trades$3,8001 min
2/21/2026, 8:27:52 PM20 trades$3,4501 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-29
10-23
12-01
01-10
02-14
03-18
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 125 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.6 / M47.3 / H41.1