@mcsg

#63,79562

0x4d3d8821996f31accf0560e5928b0c03d4da5047

~67d· 455 markets · 3437 tradesVol: $603,3572026-08-04 16:20:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (101/453)0/20
1.53x (win $4,213 / loss $2,753)9.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.91715/15
Sortino 7.33010/10
$+0.3215 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 104 (453 markets)10/10
22/62 profitable days (35%)1.4/10
Max DD 38% of peak ($857 / $2,284)6.5/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,501
Lottery Player
98% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#3,790$1,515Vol: $602,712
📈 ECONOMICS#556,050$-4Vol: $450
₿ CRYPTO#834,888$-1Vol: $159
📢 MENTIONS#25,762$5Vol: $20
🏛️ POLITICS#705,049$-0Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,515
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$603,357
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
455
total markets
Trades
2884B / 553S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d

Periods

#2
Today
$12
Vol: $282
Week
$2
Vol: $1,911
Month
$-37
Vol: $3,088
All Time
$1,515
Vol: $603,357

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
101W / 352L events
Realized PnL
$1,501
Win Rate
22%
101W / 352L
Profit Factor
1.53x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,361 (1.572950322765457% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$1,320
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$779
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$262
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$168
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$160
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$106
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$89
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$89
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$86
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$80

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-78
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-61
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-56
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-47
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-31
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-29

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.100
Sortino
0.403
HHI
47
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.323
Kelly %
4.1%
Half-Kelly
2.1%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
58.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity17 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.57
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)98%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)1.6%

Sessions

#12
3/2/2026, 10:58:11 PM1 trades$4040 min
3/3/2026, 5:00:09 AM14 trades$3100 min
3/1/2026, 5:00:07 AM32 trades$2690 min
3/1/2026, 5:00:07 PM18 trades$2680 min
2/7/2026, 5:00:09 PM23 trades$2243 min
3/4/2026, 5:00:07 AM22 trades$2170 min
3/17/2026, 4:00:07 AM26 trades$2080 min
7/25/2026, 4:00:10 PM5 trades$1870 min
2/17/2026, 5:00:07 PM40 trades$1770 min
3/8/2026, 4:00:11 PM24 trades$1640 min
7/27/2026, 4:00:13 AM2 trades$1630 min
3/4/2026, 5:00:07 PM23 trades$1590 min
1/30/2026, 5:00:08 PM40 trades$1420 min
3/16/2026, 4:00:07 PM15 trades$1390 min
3/7/2026, 5:00:11 PM27 trades$1390 min
3/12/2026, 4:00:07 AM51 trades$1382 min
3/11/2026, 4:00:07 PM24 trades$1340 min
1/31/2026, 5:00:08 PM34 trades$1330 min
3/16/2026, 4:00:07 AM18 trades$1268 min
3/18/2026, 4:00:07 AM25 trades$1230 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
01-26
02-05
02-15
02-26
03-08
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L98 / M0.5 / H1.6