@0x4d3f6e…0094

#2,653,26214

0x4d3f6ec1b47c412f24cc3fee71606d4e8fbf4851

~34d· 114 markets · 337 tradesVol: $5,5572026-08-04 16:19:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (49/114)6.5/20
0.74x (win $350 / loss $476)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9500/15
Sortino -5.6940/10
$-0.1704 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1495 (114 markets)5/10
13/33 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($172 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#287,405$-126Vol: $4,403
₿ CRYPTO#1,288,872$-24Vol: $1,154

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-150
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,557
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
114
total markets
Trades
134B / 203S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
49W / 65L events
Realized PnL
$-150
Win Rate
43%
49W / 65L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $114 (0.7564128189752815% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?$54
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5?$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$21
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 16?$11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 17?$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?$10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?$9
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$8
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?$8

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12?$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$-14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 10?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 16?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 14?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.204
Sortino
-0.552
HHI
206
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.168
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
20.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 9129s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.97
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.7%
Mid (20-55c)17.9%
High (>55c)69.4%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 6:59:54 AM19 trades$1,0962 min
5/13/2026, 12:43:30 PM15 trades$8240 min
6/4/2026, 2:51:00 AM2 trades$1010 min
5/13/2026, 12:38:16 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/5/2026, 7:02:06 PM2 trades$750 min
5/28/2026, 6:14:56 AM5 trades$740 min
6/5/2026, 2:08:04 PM7 trades$604 min
4/30/2026, 5:05:08 PM2 trades$330 min
5/12/2026, 11:42:34 PM9 trades$290 min
6/9/2026, 7:53:07 AM2 trades$290 min
6/4/2026, 8:47:51 PM3 trades$280 min
5/14/2026, 6:40:27 AM3 trades$260 min
6/10/2026, 8:05:07 PM6 trades$244 min
5/14/2026, 4:39:55 PM2 trades$200 min
6/15/2026, 11:44:45 AM4 trades$194 min
6/3/2026, 10:10:16 PM2 trades$190 min
6/10/2026, 9:20:21 AM7 trades$182 min
6/5/2026, 1:43:42 PM2 trades$180 min
6/14/2026, 3:28:00 AM3 trades$180 min
6/12/2026, 12:11:06 AM5 trades$180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-10
05-18
06-05
06-10
06-15
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
60% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.7 / M17.9 / H69.4