@100ton

#2,641,97516

0x4d8494013d0dfd24bc6b4a7c48c9c3ac8347b15a

~76d· 179 markets · 242 tradesVol: $6,5132026-08-06 15:53:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (65/172)3.9/20
0.78x (win $478 / loss $609)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2210/15
Sortino -2.9260/10
$-0.1159 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 246 (172 markets)10/10
25/65 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 768% of peak ($163 / $21)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
82% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#1,519,912$-161Vol: $4,009
📈 ECONOMICS#642,884$-38Vol: $1,169
🏛️ POLITICS#91,586$49Vol: $496
⚽ SPORTS#239,686$17Vol: $483
🎭 CULTURE#738,465$-26Vol: $149
💰 FINANCE#56,534$10Vol: $90
📢 MENTIONS#16,217$16Vol: $74
💻 TECH#220,725$-6Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-141
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,513
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
179
total markets
Trades
195B / 47S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-141
Vol: $6,513

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
65W / 107L events
Realized PnL
$-141
Win Rate
38%
65W / 107L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $114 (0.8074763698386753% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?$44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?$36
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?$33
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 15?$33
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8?$28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 16?$27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 8?$22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 19?$18
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?$17

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?$-34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 15?$-25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 21?$-25
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 20?$-25
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-25
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on February 7?$-25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 22?$-25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 1?$-23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 11?$-23

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.115
Sortino
-0.158
HHI
154
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.118
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
16.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 1.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.34
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)64.6%
High (>55c)18.5%

Sessions

#12
2/14/2026, 11:33:17 AM1 trades$780 min
5/15/2026, 10:53:01 AM2 trades$670 min
2/7/2026, 7:21:59 AM1 trades$560 min
3/4/2026, 8:55:25 AM1 trades$550 min
2/28/2026, 8:32:53 AM2 trades$530 min
2/16/2026, 1:07:47 PM1 trades$470 min
3/16/2026, 9:38:37 PM1 trades$450 min
5/15/2026, 10:58:44 AM2 trades$420 min
2/6/2026, 2:48:21 PM1 trades$370 min
2/16/2026, 5:07:25 PM2 trades$350 min
3/6/2026, 12:07:21 PM2 trades$342 min
2/8/2026, 12:58:29 PM1 trades$340 min
5/15/2026, 4:56:31 AM3 trades$320 min
1/19/2026, 7:37:22 PM2 trades$301 min
1/20/2026, 8:20:48 PM2 trades$300 min
2/2/2026, 2:55:32 PM2 trades$292 min
2/7/2026, 8:09:09 PM1 trades$280 min
2/28/2026, 1:55:31 PM2 trades$280 min
10/25/2025, 2:01:15 PM6 trades$271 min
11/13/2025, 9:41:02 AM2 trades$251 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
10-02
11-05
12-12
01-28
02-08
03-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 226 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.34/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.9 / M64.6 / H18.5