pdangus

@pdangus

#2,947,43010

0x4dba62f1b1e5c6f1c86c5787e47d4bba37fce698

~59d· 84 markets · 198 tradesVol: $50,7412026-08-04 20:12:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (21/80)0/20
0.21x (win $300 / loss $1,404)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.5970/15
Sortino -8.0440/10
$-0.4612 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 253 (80 markets)10/10
7/40 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 1619% of peak ($1,177 / $73)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,832,353$-1,067Vol: $42,812
🏛️ POLITICS#1,157,876$-5Vol: $2,830
🎭 CULTURE#732,141$-23Vol: $1,663
📈 ECONOMICS#622,655$-18Vol: $786
CRYPTO#1,450,269$-87Vol: $434
🌤️ WEATHER#213,966$-3Vol: $382
💻 TECH#239,130$-28Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#96,430$-2Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,741
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
84
total markets
Trades
153B / 45S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Month
$-22
Vol: $176
All Time
$-1,190
Vol: $50,741

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
21W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-1,190
Win Rate
26%
21W / 59L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $134 (0.11238665109125899% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$73
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?$35
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? $27
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$26
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?$21
Will Sam Darnold win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?$20
South Korean President impeached in 2024?$18
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$17
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$11
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?$9

Top Losers

Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$-199
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?$-146
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?$-113
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$-81
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?$-74
Will the 49ers win the NFC Championship?$-65
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-59
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?$-50
Will the San Francisco Giants win the NL West $-49
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.444
Sortino
-0.448
HHI
261
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.496
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
27.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 294s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.4%
Mid (20-55c)22.2%
High (>55c)12.4%

Sessions

#12
10/15/2024, 8:56:20 PM3 trades$2013 min
6/16/2025, 2:34:13 AM3 trades$1963 min
11/6/2024, 1:44:25 PM7 trades$17910 min
10/28/2024, 6:37:58 PM3 trades$1233 min
1/22/2025, 1:57:05 PM7 trades$1166 min
2/2/2025, 5:29:20 AM5 trades$1058 min
3/3/2025, 6:54:42 PM5 trades$977 min
4/3/2025, 5:52:10 AM2 trades$962 min
3/3/2025, 9:51:43 PM6 trades$924 min
11/15/2024, 3:55:15 PM2 trades$901 min
3/25/2026, 6:54:41 PM1 trades$750 min
3/6/2025, 9:36:55 PM2 trades$660 min
3/3/2025, 7:24:32 PM3 trades$662 min
1/22/2025, 2:17:21 PM3 trades$508 min
12/9/2024, 12:27:53 AM1 trades$460 min
3/7/2025, 12:16:45 PM2 trades$451 min
1/22/2025, 1:41:25 PM2 trades$454 min
3/6/2025, 11:26:43 PM4 trades$451 min
3/3/2025, 6:43:08 PM2 trades$431 min
12/4/2024, 8:48:32 PM2 trades$401 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
12-06
12-16
01-22
02-04
03-11
08-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 526 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.4 / M22.2 / H12.4