@Farcaster

#1,471,44940

0x4e1c21d63bb9a02a5a8d00b8d414a27ba229df93

~45d· 56 markets · 64 tradesVol: $3,0912026-08-04 19:18:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

95% (53/56)20/20
0.81x (win $17 / loss $21)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6030/15
Sortino -0.6160/10
$-0.0014 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 307 (56 markets)10/10
42/44 profitable days (95%)10/10
Max DD 1059% of peak ($19 / $2)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 95%
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Consistent
42/44 profitable days
Win Streak
25 wins in a row

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#700,544$-12Vol: $1,126
🏛️ POLITICS#210,278$5Vol: $820
💰 FINANCE#99,202$2Vol: $599
₿ CRYPTO#397,959$1Vol: $377
🌤️ WEATHER#73,356$0Vol: $123
📈 ECONOMICS#252,922$0Vol: $23
⚽ SPORTS#549,341$0Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,091
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
58B / 6S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3
Vol: $3,091

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
95%
53W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-3
Win Rate
95%
53W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (1.9381818181818182% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$2
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$2
Will Biden drop out on July 20?$2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$1
Aleo airdrop by June 30?$1
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?$1
Will Biden drop out on July 19?$1
Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?$1
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 in June?$1
Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?$0

Top Losers

Will Biden drop out on July 21?$-19
Biden drops out by July 19?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.031
Sortino
-91.136
HHI
304
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
26.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 0.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.18
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2024, 4:39:29 AM2 trades$2530 min
7/19/2024, 9:21:26 PM3 trades$2371 min
10/21/2025, 2:43:15 AM1 trades$2250 min
1/30/2026, 4:09:28 AM4 trades$2091 min
6/27/2024, 7:15:55 AM1 trades$1350 min
4/11/2025, 10:11:10 PM1 trades$1110 min
5/7/2026, 12:42:18 PM2 trades$1080 min
3/18/2026, 3:39:55 PM1 trades$940 min
11/22/2024, 1:29:49 AM1 trades$840 min
6/20/2026, 7:59:34 AM2 trades$690 min
4/9/2026, 8:17:45 AM2 trades$680 min
12/28/2024, 6:42:02 AM3 trades$672 min
2/3/2026, 9:18:40 AM1 trades$670 min
6/17/2026, 3:04:04 PM2 trades$650 min
11/29/2025, 5:15:05 AM1 trades$580 min
2/24/2026, 9:58:40 AM1 trades$570 min
11/6/2024, 5:20:59 AM1 trades$530 min
10/20/2024, 3:21:18 AM1 trades$530 min
9/26/2024, 9:36:20 AM1 trades$530 min
9/23/2024, 2:47:03 AM1 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-26
08-18
11-06
12-28
05-07
01-30
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100