@OmskBird

#3,035,08019

0x4e1fc4e94600580cf1446db2c168d8c5c038aa60

~48d· 362 markets · 513 tradesVol: $121,4522026-08-04 20:08:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (150/356)6.1/20
0.65x (win $9,047 / loss $13,943)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5530/15
Sortino -5.2000/10
$-0.1454 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 251 (356 markets)10/10
20/46 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 1180% of peak ($5,350 / $453)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,222$-1,835Vol: $59,309
₿ CRYPTO#39,684$598Vol: $42,664
🎭 CULTURE#813,956$-2,167Vol: $9,176
📢 MENTIONS#3,438$264Vol: $4,307
📈 ECONOMICS#656,786$-85Vol: $2,929
⚽ SPORTS#1,798,663$-512Vol: $1,583
💻 TECH#252,900$-196Vol: $880
🌤️ WEATHER#265,245$-25Vol: $169
💰 FINANCE#615,941$-44Vol: $106

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,983
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$121,452
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
362
total markets
Trades
436B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,983
Vol: $121,452

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
150W / 206L events
Realized PnL
$-3,983
Win Rate
42%
150W / 206L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-68

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,228 (0.5594145547768926% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 13?$961
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?$641
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$626
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 20?$439
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?$403
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 20?$346
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$256
US recession in 2025?$251
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?$238
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$228

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?$-1,400
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$-1,200
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-800
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$-800
XRP Up or Down on June 22?$-724
US military action against Iran before July?$-600
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 18?$-550
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-530
Will Biden finish his term?$-529
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?$-500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.236
Sortino
-0.267
HHI
185
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
20.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal3% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.6%
Mid (20-55c)34.6%
High (>55c)38.8%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2025, 12:01:04 PM4 trades$3,9345 min
6/20/2025, 11:31:06 AM2 trades$3,0460 min
6/13/2025, 1:31:13 PM5 trades$2,6616 min
7/9/2026, 6:32:52 PM58 trades$2,55210 min
6/10/2025, 4:20:45 PM16 trades$2,2979 min
6/18/2025, 2:44:52 PM5 trades$2,2364 min
6/27/2025, 11:00:39 AM4 trades$2,2101 min
6/26/2025, 6:02:43 PM6 trades$2,1482 min
3/5/2026, 3:30:47 PM6 trades$2,0936 min
6/20/2025, 9:53:12 PM4 trades$1,9002 min
6/21/2025, 1:47:06 PM11 trades$1,4483 min
6/30/2025, 6:10:32 PM3 trades$1,2251 min
5/28/2025, 7:59:02 PM4 trades$1,1833 min
4/2/2026, 10:37:27 PM5 trades$1,1330 min
7/9/2026, 6:27:50 PM2 trades$1,0190 min
7/15/2025, 9:28:43 PM2 trades$9500 min
2/20/2026, 9:02:50 PM4 trades$9502 min
7/7/2025, 6:48:21 AM1 trades$9190 min
7/21/2025, 7:37:03 PM2 trades$9151 min
2/15/2025, 3:33:38 PM74 trades$84029 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
01-06
02-20
04-25
06-18
07-01
02-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 386 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.6 / M34.6 / H38.8