@Cassandra-Unchained

#147,64996

0x4e48ed9969e0297f2175957f4cf1258b6ca5a96d

~32d· 186 markets · 419 tradesVol: $7,0282026-08-04 21:49:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (89/126)20/20
2.91x (win $638 / loss $219)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.97315/15
Sortino 16.61710/10
$+0.1183 per $1 invested5.9/10
HHI 185 (126 markets)10/10
25/30 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($70 / $430)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+292
Consistent
25/30 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
16 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#36,630$290Vol: $3,281
⚽ SPORTS#310,045$7Vol: $1,699
💰 FINANCE#50,200$12Vol: $1,064
🌤️ WEATHER#20,679$12Vol: $381
📈 ECONOMICS#61,141$5Vol: $210
🎭 CULTURE#723,867$-20Vol: $172
₿ CRYPTO#184,275$20Vol: $57
💻 TECH#30,483$3Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,028
Total Redeem
$140
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
186
total markets
Trades
248B / 171S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $0
Week
$-11
Vol: $205
Month
$-10
Vol: $205
All Time
$292
Vol: $7,028

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
89W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$292
Win Rate
71%
89W / 37L
Profit Factor
2.91x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $176 (0.6024740431072885% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$76
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$53
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$42
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$41
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$34
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$24
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$22

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-76
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-53
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$-20
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$-10
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$-10
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $-8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$-5
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?$-5
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?$-5
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.410
Sortino
0.433
HHI
147
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.132
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
17.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
8.1m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.66
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.1%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)86.3%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 8:16:02 PM36 trades$51614 min
4/1/2026, 9:27:31 PM15 trades$35812 min
6/16/2026, 9:57:53 PM28 trades$27511 min
3/1/2026, 11:36:43 PM8 trades$25910 min
8/3/2026, 10:36:57 PM28 trades$21014 min
1/4/2026, 4:27:03 PM11 trades$20011 min
2/4/2026, 10:46:09 PM10 trades$1938 min
4/4/2026, 6:20:09 PM4 trades$1872 min
5/18/2026, 9:45:16 PM21 trades$18311 min
6/10/2026, 10:25:42 PM19 trades$1767 min
3/17/2026, 10:03:23 PM7 trades$1498 min
1/27/2026, 8:29:19 PM9 trades$1427 min
7/4/2026, 4:46:53 PM14 trades$1349 min
6/27/2026, 12:43:19 PM19 trades$13011 min
1/13/2026, 10:21:26 PM11 trades$12010 min
4/19/2026, 9:07:12 PM12 trades$1176 min
7/4/2026, 5:02:11 PM10 trades$1078 min
4/8/2026, 9:24:07 PM8 trades$9510 min
1/20/2026, 9:09:58 PM5 trades$942 min
5/18/2026, 9:36:33 PM6 trades$821 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-04
01-24
02-25
03-17
04-08
06-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.1 / M5.6 / H86.3