
@loutsonw…ayce
#3,035,971290x4e700aef7865c16e4f5f445ee26ed4836e03fc34
~11d· 17 markets · 142 tradesVol: $46,2992026-08-04 23:12:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (10/17)14.4/20
0.80x (win $5,112 / loss $6,419)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0810/15
Sortino -2.5740/10
$-0.0547 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 883 (17 markets)8.1/10
5/9 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 169% of peak ($3,191 / $1,885)0/10
Badges
1DCA Master
Avg 8.4 entries/market
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,869,110$-4,043Vol: $46,299
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,043
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,299
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
40B / 102S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
10W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-4,043
Win Rate
59%
10W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$511
Avg Loss
$-917
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,728 (0.6746094947916151% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$1,093
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?$818
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$817
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$787
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$538
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?$365
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$301
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?$211
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?$124
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$58
Top Losers
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,515
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$-1,400
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-1,200
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-1,000
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-760
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-362
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?$-182
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.103
Sortino
-0.294
HHI
1003
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
60.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 0.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.35
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.5%
Mid (20-55c)10%
High (>55c)87.5%
Sessions
#126/21/2026, 9:21:32 AM36 trades$5,3461 min
6/24/2026, 2:46:07 AM6 trades$3,3684 min
6/23/2026, 6:29:07 PM4 trades$3,3662 min
6/22/2026, 8:18:01 AM22 trades$3,1713 min
6/24/2026, 12:11:43 AM3 trades$3,1210 min
7/4/2026, 12:51:05 PM6 trades$2,9902 min
6/23/2026, 3:24:31 AM12 trades$2,5861 min
6/21/2026, 5:17:11 PM10 trades$2,1625 min
7/16/2026, 8:59:25 AM4 trades$1,6782 min
7/11/2026, 12:10:32 PM2 trades$1,6280 min
6/26/2026, 2:52:52 PM5 trades$1,4010 min
6/25/2026, 4:29:56 PM2 trades$1,2630 min
7/4/2026, 12:59:14 PM13 trades$1,0540 min
7/6/2026, 9:11:19 AM2 trades$7460 min
6/22/2026, 4:43:47 AM6 trades$7351 min
7/6/2026, 9:16:50 AM5 trades$6120 min
7/8/2026, 6:59:08 AM2 trades$4330 min
6/22/2026, 4:18:55 AM2 trades$170 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-26
07-04
07-06
07-11
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.5 / M10 / H87.5