@0x4ea1F1…3742

#2,781,39345

0x4ea1f16852e8291903ebf8e01fc726911ba74b4d

~46d· 416 markets · 3855 tradesVol: $78,9262026-08-04 21:50:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

45
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (242/407)14.7/20
1.02x (win $4,682 / loss $4,577)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3005.6/15
Sortino 0.5325.3/10
$+0.0068 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 251 (407 markets)10/10
22/41 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 93% of peak ($895 / $966)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 12.0 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#1,497,669$-126Vol: $27,384
🏛️ POLITICS#1,461,973$-49Vol: $26,685
⚽ SPORTS#182,686$39Vol: $11,356
🎭 CULTURE#772,650$-74Vol: $6,039
🌤️ WEATHER#271,272$-36Vol: $2,420
💰 FINANCE#610,420$-35Vol: $2,341
📈 ECONOMICS#27,162$23Vol: $2,207
💻 TECH#230,767$-13Vol: $293

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-301
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,926
Total Redeem
$1,639
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
416
total markets
Trades
2505B / 1350S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$7
Vol: $0
All Time
$-301
Vol: $78,926

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
242W / 165L events
Realized PnL
$-301
Win Rate
59%
242W / 165L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $691 (2.2969549896948345% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$252
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$236
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$202
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$148
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$116
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$96
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$91
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$91
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$88
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$85

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$-225
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$-225
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$-225
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$-135
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$-112
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$-112
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$-100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-98
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-72
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$-72

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.015
Sortino
0.023
HHI
197
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
24.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.0m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.6

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 110s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency3.2 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)39.4%
High (>55c)33.3%

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 10:43:59 PM46 trades$1,25412 min
4/14/2026, 9:08:32 PM23 trades$7168 min
2/25/2026, 5:46:50 PM61 trades$6540 min
4/24/2026, 11:05:44 AM86 trades$57431 min
4/24/2026, 9:04:36 PM94 trades$46626 min
2/24/2026, 6:52:18 PM18 trades$4464 min
4/15/2026, 4:42:40 AM11 trades$4248 min
4/23/2026, 12:03:02 AM47 trades$35927 min
4/26/2026, 5:12:14 AM53 trades$34013 min
4/23/2026, 4:53:26 PM47 trades$32637 min
4/13/2026, 1:12:55 PM85 trades$32246 min
2/23/2026, 3:36:44 PM12 trades$29410 min
4/26/2026, 2:20:34 PM22 trades$2570 min
2/25/2026, 5:02:08 PM17 trades$2253 min
4/24/2026, 3:44:02 PM42 trades$22412 min
4/24/2026, 9:42:56 AM28 trades$21225 min
2/23/2026, 1:29:36 AM8 trades$20710 min
4/22/2026, 7:48:48 PM31 trades$20432 min
2/23/2026, 3:00:44 PM29 trades$2002 min
2/23/2026, 12:46:50 AM18 trades$1983 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
02-27
04-13
04-20
04-26
05-04
05-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.3 / M39.4 / H33.3