@mocapbear

#226,32560

0x4ea6d9bbb8d54f0686ccd15dc4b6e8665ac3d5e9

~13d· 30 markets · 227 tradesVol: $33,9262026-08-04 19:47:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (18/29)16/20
1.13x (win $1,356 / loss $1,201)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.13015/15
Sortino 1.39010/10
$+0.0180 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 1130 (29 markets)6.8/10
6/10 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 292% of peak ($661 / $227)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+112
DCA Master
Avg 8.6 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#211,829$5Vol: $12,978
₿ CRYPTO#162,462$27Vol: $10,872
⚽ SPORTS#1,694,282$-113Vol: $6,245
📈 ECONOMICS#11,016$124Vol: $1,577
💻 TECH#222,687$-7Vol: $1,207
💰 FINANCE#21,023$76Vol: $1,046

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$112
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,926
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
61B / 166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
18W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$112
Win Rate
64%
18W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-300

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $890 (7.98286995515695% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$328
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$282
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$280
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?$127
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$72
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$58
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$53
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$38
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$27

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-661
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-456
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$-85

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.056
Sortino
0.041
HHI
707
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
47%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 152s — normal for humanCV 0.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.59
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)8.2%
High (>55c)83.6%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 9:26:55 AM6 trades$5,4006 min
7/17/2026, 4:43:27 PM30 trades$2,8201 min
6/19/2026, 4:38:44 AM4 trades$1,1431 min
6/30/2026, 9:22:31 AM11 trades$1,0661 min
7/1/2026, 1:35:28 AM28 trades$9967 min
6/14/2026, 1:09:00 AM14 trades$8795 min
6/26/2026, 12:08:59 AM14 trades$8173 min
7/1/2026, 11:38:53 PM14 trades$7869 min
6/18/2026, 1:34:01 PM12 trades$7210 min
7/1/2026, 8:21:59 PM10 trades$5855 min
7/1/2026, 5:07:59 AM6 trades$4385 min
6/19/2026, 6:47:38 AM5 trades$3420 min
6/19/2026, 4:49:08 AM4 trades$3400 min
7/2/2026, 4:52:13 PM4 trades$2932 min
7/8/2026, 10:35:14 PM5 trades$2880 min
6/28/2026, 7:11:58 PM8 trades$2380 min
6/26/2026, 12:02:52 AM5 trades$2370 min
6/15/2026, 7:00:57 AM2 trades$2290 min
6/30/2026, 2:53:44 PM7 trades$1960 min
7/2/2026, 7:51:26 PM4 trades$1580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-19
06-28
06-30
07-01
07-02
07-06
07-08
07-13
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.2 / M8.2 / H83.6