barenverge

@barenverge

#2,627,73333

0x4eb601e831ba73bbc8e9f9f60aa636af632a5e8a

~182d· 1535 markets · 12119 tradesVol: $59,6142026-08-06 15:13:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (829/1334)16.1/20
0.90x (win $1,482 / loss $1,648)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5510/15
Sortino -2.0710/10
$-0.0075 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 39 (1334 markets)10/10
81/158 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 731% of peak ($255 / $35)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 62%
DCA Master
Avg 7.9 entries/market
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#88,710$52Vol: $37,053
CRYPTO#1,473,825$-101Vol: $5,936
📈 ECONOMICS#652,779$-62Vol: $5,366
🎭 CULTURE#59,066$14Vol: $4,016
💰 FINANCE#584,528$-14Vol: $3,822
SPORTS#349,261$4Vol: $1,636
💻 TECH#193,612$-1Vol: $602
🌤️ WEATHER#238,673$-8Vol: $420
📢 MENTIONS#99,117$-2Vol: $139

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-131
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$59,614
Total Redeem
$391
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1535
total markets
Trades
6344B / 5775S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~182d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $16
Week
$-9
Vol: $422
Month
$-3
Vol: $584
All Time
$-131
Vol: $59,614

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
829W / 505L events
Realized PnL
$-131
Win Rate
62%
829W / 505L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $160 (1.2208020817388643% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$84
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$40
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$31
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$28
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$21
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?$20
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?$18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$15

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-46
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-42
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-29
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?$-25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-20
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.081
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
20
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
8.0%
Half-Kelly
4.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
54.1
Very active
Markets / Day
6.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.4m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
67.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 234s — normal for humanCV 0.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock54 trades/day — mass trading6.9 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.91
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.1%
Mid (20-55c)26.1%
High (>55c)67.8%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 5:44:14 PM201 trades$93823 min
6/29/2026, 4:10:40 PM214 trades$92116 min
6/29/2026, 1:00:01 PM172 trades$6539 min
6/29/2026, 2:07:43 PM137 trades$56712 min
5/27/2026, 5:36:24 PM145 trades$5575 min
6/29/2026, 2:24:41 PM133 trades$55122 min
4/10/2026, 6:09:07 AM151 trades$47953 min
6/29/2026, 5:33:53 PM116 trades$4684 min
6/29/2026, 9:44:13 PM109 trades$4267 min
6/29/2026, 10:36:20 PM92 trades$4186 min
6/29/2026, 11:51:13 AM101 trades$3967 min
6/29/2026, 9:56:32 PM95 trades$3825 min
2/17/2026, 6:11:23 PM60 trades$37010 min
6/29/2026, 4:57:22 PM93 trades$36710 min
6/29/2026, 12:19:37 PM64 trades$3442 min
6/29/2026, 3:55:28 PM93 trades$3422 min
6/29/2026, 12:44:46 PM85 trades$3277 min
6/29/2026, 1:31:46 PM75 trades$3207 min
6/30/2026, 12:24:46 AM85 trades$3168 min
2/14/2026, 11:25:59 PM102 trades$28824 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-29
02-08
03-06
04-01
04-27
06-01
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 138 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.1 / M26.1 / H67.8