@0x4f1224…7128

#260,0304

0x4f12242451c46cbe08bc7a94ff2ba0de3f595143

~15d· 33 markets · 241 tradesVol: $9,5062026-08-04 22:02:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (6/25)0/20
0.48x (win $415 / loss $873)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.0590/15
Sortino -9.5390/10
$-0.3386 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1660 (25 markets)4.2/10
1/9 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 286% of peak ($705 / $247)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+84
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#38,387$22Vol: $4,230
⚽ SPORTS#1,573,647$-44Vol: $3,638
🏛️ POLITICS#1,540,137$-131Vol: $1,231
🎭 CULTURE#14,224$192Vol: $269
💻 TECH#9,084$44Vol: $138

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$84
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,506
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
101B / 140S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$84
Vol: $9,506

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
6W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$84
Win Rate
24%
6W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-79

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $355 (4.22863273334128% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$247
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$67
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$41
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$15
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$7

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-220
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-216
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-160
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-78
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-50
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-41
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-09?$-40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$-10
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.398
Sortino
-0.830
HHI
1383
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.265
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.1%
Top-5 markets
67.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 131s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.2
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)39.6%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 9:35:56 PM4 trades$5230 min
6/16/2026, 9:10:19 PM7 trades$4405 min
6/8/2026, 8:27:48 PM18 trades$4060 min
6/27/2026, 7:28:13 AM26 trades$3149 min
6/21/2026, 6:45:50 PM4 trades$2550 min
6/13/2026, 6:37:30 PM5 trades$1881 min
6/9/2026, 8:11:10 PM13 trades$1693 min
6/13/2026, 6:07:12 PM4 trades$1611 min
6/13/2026, 9:43:04 AM7 trades$1532 min
7/14/2026, 9:12:56 PM2 trades$1460 min
6/27/2026, 7:56:31 AM8 trades$1401 min
6/9/2026, 7:38:46 AM6 trades$1351 min
5/16/2026, 5:33:37 PM5 trades$1144 min
6/23/2026, 7:44:52 PM13 trades$1032 min
6/12/2026, 1:26:06 PM6 trades$1031 min
5/16/2026, 5:22:02 PM2 trades$970 min
6/1/2026, 6:08:00 AM4 trades$803 min
6/12/2026, 5:13:28 PM4 trades$730 min
6/16/2026, 6:39:47 PM4 trades$672 min
6/23/2026, 7:54:52 PM7 trades$661 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
06-09
06-12
06-13
06-14
06-16
06-21
06-27
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.2/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.6 / M22.8 / H39.6