@experiments00-

#2,851,54925

0x4f320c0357fe2ea3f83e049afa11b02ba45a7b50

~36d· 184 markets · 952 tradesVol: $70,9512026-08-05 02:38:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (100/174)13.7/20
0.66x (win $1,931 / loss $2,928)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8660/15
Sortino -6.4010/10
$-0.0642 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 174 (174 markets)10/10
9/25 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($997 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,585,475$-450Vol: $56,276
🏛️ POLITICS#64,102$100Vol: $7,016
💰 FINANCE#627,404$-78Vol: $3,719
🎭 CULTURE#736,363$-25Vol: $2,811
📈 ECONOMICS#650,418$-56Vol: $806
💻 TECH#32,710$2Vol: $303

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-505
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,951
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
184
total markets
Trades
736B / 216S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Week
$7
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $343
All Time
$-505
Vol: $70,951

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
100W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$-505
Win Rate
57%
100W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $705 (1.3968473998970259% of PnL)

Top Winners

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$540
XRP Up or Down - December 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$88
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$77
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$72
HumidiFi FDV above $400M one day after launch?$67
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$40
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$39
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?$38
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$35

Top Losers

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-390
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$-200
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$-165
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-100
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-100
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in May?$-100
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-84
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$-81
Will Solana reach $220 in December?$-79
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$-75

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.249
Sortino
-0.377
HHI
88
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
10.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
35.3m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.97
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)55.6%
High (>55c)28%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 1:39:56 PM11 trades$1,7162 min
4/18/2026, 1:36:24 AM2 trades$1,2500 min
12/7/2025, 4:31:39 PM23 trades$1,12422 min
5/19/2026, 7:29:04 PM35 trades$1,1144 min
4/24/2026, 12:12:54 AM12 trades$1,0360 min
12/7/2025, 5:45:17 PM15 trades$93314 min
4/14/2026, 7:12:20 PM14 trades$9190 min
12/7/2025, 3:44:45 PM52 trades$80623 min
6/12/2026, 3:40:42 PM16 trades$7460 min
6/12/2026, 3:47:49 PM10 trades$7084 min
4/16/2026, 7:20:58 PM11 trades$5670 min
6/12/2026, 4:00:34 PM9 trades$5471 min
12/6/2025, 7:15:37 PM30 trades$49914 min
12/6/2025, 6:35:19 PM15 trades$47612 min
5/19/2026, 7:21:05 PM2 trades$4750 min
12/7/2025, 10:14:57 AM29 trades$46024 min
12/7/2025, 11:14:01 AM15 trades$45714 min
12/7/2025, 3:15:33 PM21 trades$4299 min
5/31/2026, 4:33:39 PM17 trades$4230 min
12/6/2025, 6:08:59 PM35 trades$42318 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
11-30
12-06
12-11
12-22
04-21
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.97/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.4 / M55.6 / H28