@omelet

#2,499,26023

0x4f447b9e4c19d8e29599aece4b655618ad293408

~12d· 45 markets · 63 tradesVol: $1,2762026-08-04 22:58:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (24/45)11.7/20
0.44x (win $64 / loss $145)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9380/15
Sortino -6.1980/10
$-0.3058 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1097 (45 markets)7/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 708% of peak ($94 / $13)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,485,526$-62Vol: $1,121
🎭 CULTURE#721,757$-19Vol: $61
🌤️ WEATHER#207,463$-2Vol: $49
📈 ECONOMICS#521,587$-2Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-86
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,276
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
55B / 8S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-86
Vol: $1,276

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
24W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-86
Win Rate
53%
24W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29 (0.3398738612473721% of PnL)

Top Winners

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$14
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$9
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?$6
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$5
Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?$4
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$4
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$3
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?$2
Jeremy Corbyn elected to parliament in UK election?$2
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar?$2

Top Losers

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-69
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-11
Biden drops out of presidential race?$-11
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$-10
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$-7
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?$-6
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?$-5
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-5
Will a Republican win Michigan US Senate Election?$-5
Will Georgia be the closest state?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.296
Sortino
-0.296
HHI
1086
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.306
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.3%
Top-5 markets
46.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4m
between trades
Night Trading
71%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)71% night trades — never sleeps7/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)41.8%
High (>55c)38.2%

Sessions

#12
2/24/2025, 10:27:42 PM1 trades$800 min
10/2/2024, 3:11:56 AM13 trades$5013 min
10/18/2024, 2:40:42 AM11 trades$4311 min
5/26/2024, 12:46:13 AM7 trades$429 min
11/4/2024, 9:38:55 PM2 trades$134 min
4/28/2025, 10:31:26 PM1 trades$110 min
7/1/2026, 12:57:50 AM3 trades$100 min
8/5/2024, 11:59:55 PM1 trades$100 min
7/1/2026, 1:26:16 AM3 trades$60 min
5/20/2024, 11:14:32 PM6 trades$65 min
8/5/2024, 11:52:51 PM1 trades$50 min
8/6/2024, 12:07:53 AM1 trades$50 min
11/2/2024, 10:14:38 PM1 trades$50 min
5/16/2024, 1:31:17 AM3 trades$34 min
11/2/2024, 10:31:13 PM1 trades$30 min
5/26/2024, 12:26:24 AM2 trades$25 min
5/20/2024, 10:56:54 PM2 trades$21 min
5/20/2024, 11:37:24 PM2 trades$21 min
5/16/2024, 1:25:07 AM1 trades$10 min
5/26/2024, 12:36:52 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
05-20
05-26
08-05
08-06
10-02
10-18
11-02
11-04
04-28
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 637 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20 / M41.8 / H38.2