@0x4f807A…1321

#2,704,76451

0x4f807a174c9ea1f8b6deae0196195630f78abe79

~55d· 86 markets · 949 tradesVol: $141,3062026-08-05 17:27:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (26/62)6/20
1.16x (win $17,753 / loss $15,336)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.80715/15
Sortino 1.10210/10
$+0.0870 per $1 invested4.3/10
HHI 1010 (62 markets)7.4/10
14/30 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 258% of peak ($10,685 / $4,146)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#15,621$1,247Vol: $91,547
💰 FINANCE#649,511$-455Vol: $18,906
📈 ECONOMICS#678,799$-912Vol: $9,240
CRYPTO#1,450,621$-86Vol: $9,088
🎭 CULTURE#767,944$-58Vol: $5,476
SPORTS#1,651,020$-80Vol: $5,047
🌤️ WEATHER#21,765$11Vol: $150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-196
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$141,306
Total Redeem
$1,087
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
213B / 736S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-196
Vol: $141,306

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
26W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-196
Win Rate
42%
26W / 36L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$683
Avg Loss
$-451

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,550 (58.88564290812686% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7,708
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$2,371
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1,471
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$1,301
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1,066
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$914
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$644
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$430
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$413
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$409

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-6,873
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-2,877
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,600
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$-1,004
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-603
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-516
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-422
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-265
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-200
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$-157

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.042
Sortino
0.045
HHI
1550
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.071
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.7%
Top-5 markets
78.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 159s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.21
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31%
Mid (20-55c)21.1%
High (>55c)47.9%

Sessions

#12
5/23/2026, 2:43:13 PM73 trades$9,80312 min
5/23/2026, 12:41:37 AM7 trades$5,6180 min
5/30/2026, 6:26:32 PM44 trades$3,6124 min
6/14/2026, 9:34:10 PM8 trades$3,3310 min
6/30/2026, 2:47:22 PM98 trades$2,4933 min
6/9/2026, 6:59:34 AM46 trades$2,2512 min
4/16/2026, 2:41:02 PM3 trades$2,2170 min
6/12/2026, 2:43:19 PM5 trades$2,0830 min
6/9/2026, 7:06:31 AM26 trades$1,9443 min
6/18/2026, 6:47:59 PM54 trades$1,8876 min
5/25/2026, 4:06:49 PM29 trades$1,5862 min
6/14/2026, 2:22:42 PM26 trades$1,5700 min
4/8/2026, 10:58:51 AM7 trades$1,5500 min
5/23/2026, 1:54:39 AM40 trades$1,2884 min
6/7/2026, 7:06:06 PM16 trades$1,2750 min
6/10/2026, 4:28:48 PM2 trades$1,2500 min
4/18/2026, 10:07:26 AM15 trades$1,2432 min
4/1/2026, 10:33:27 AM23 trades$1,1732 min
6/14/2026, 9:42:30 PM2 trades$1,1430 min
4/12/2026, 2:17:37 PM7 trades$9422 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
03-13
04-03
04-15
05-22
06-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31 / M21.1 / H47.9