@jertig

#2,283,37776

0x4f8e1195b48375d9ec0724484bc0b8a7db076399

~12d· 25 markets · 83 tradesVol: $8422026-08-04 19:46:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (10/25)5/20
1.73x (win $81 / loss $47)11.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.46815/15
Sortino 13.29810/10
$+0.3218 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 650 (25 markets)9.2/10
7/11 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($18 / $52)7.1/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Consistent
7/11 profitable days

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,484,543$-23Vol: $487
₿ CRYPTO#1,358,181$-40Vol: $271
💰 FINANCE#54,639$10Vol: $39
🏛️ POLITICS#323,348$1Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-40
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$842
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
39B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
10W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-40
Win Rate
40%
10W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.73x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50 (1.273348519362187% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$21
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$8
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5$7
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Total Corners Odd or Even?$6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?$6
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$4
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$2
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals$2

Top Losers

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-14
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?$-4
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$-4
Spurs vs. Nuggets$-4
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay?$-3
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$-2
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?$-2
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?$-2
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First Corner$-2
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.323
Sortino
0.542
HHI
797
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.322
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.3%
Top-5 markets
54.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6702s — normal for humanCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.1%
Mid (20-55c)41%
High (>55c)35.9%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 6:14:15 AM4 trades$303 min
4/8/2026, 7:08:23 AM2 trades$290 min
6/20/2026, 9:59:34 PM2 trades$290 min
6/25/2026, 1:23:20 AM2 trades$230 min
6/28/2026, 5:14:50 AM3 trades$200 min
6/24/2026, 3:29:19 AM4 trades$180 min
4/4/2026, 12:41:47 PM2 trades$160 min
6/23/2026, 9:59:04 PM2 trades$140 min
6/27/2026, 2:59:58 AM2 trades$140 min
6/20/2026, 1:46:43 AM2 trades$140 min
6/21/2026, 4:58:19 AM4 trades$132 min
6/21/2026, 3:57:43 AM4 trades$130 min
6/22/2026, 7:07:11 PM2 trades$120 min
6/26/2026, 1:00:34 AM2 trades$120 min
6/21/2026, 12:08:16 PM5 trades$104 min
6/25/2026, 9:02:28 PM4 trades$100 min
4/4/2026, 10:19:45 AM2 trades$90 min
6/23/2026, 8:45:05 AM3 trades$80 min
6/27/2026, 4:33:55 AM2 trades$80 min
4/4/2026, 6:42:07 PM4 trades$82 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
04-08
06-20
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-26
06-27
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.32/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.1 / M41 / H35.9