reillyarmani5

@reillyarmani5

#2,810,2817

0x4fca874a322fcf9f7ebf99bd633c452e6d00a5bc

~31d· 31 markets · 50 tradesVol: $8,7572026-08-04 19:42:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (5/29)0/20
0.32x (win $163 / loss $502)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7260/15
Sortino -5.0080/10
$-0.0951 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1171 (29 markets)6.6/10
5/28 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 369% of peak ($465 / $126)0/10

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,386,570$-22Vol: $4,775
SPORTS#1,778,548$-347Vol: $3,945
CRYPTO#789,198$-0Vol: $37

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-369
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,757
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
34B / 16S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $1,900
Month
$-2
Vol: $2,854
All Time
$-369
Vol: $8,757

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
5W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-369
Win Rate
17%
5W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $160 (0.4325810733927555% of PnL)

Top Winners

Pacers vs. Nets$96
Rockets vs. Kings$43
Thunder vs. Lakers$21
Blue Jays vs. Orioles$3
Will Solana dip to $80 in June?$0

Top Losers

Bulls vs. Spurs$-186
Hawks vs. Spurs$-103
Flyers vs. Red Wings$-103
Penguins vs. Canadiens$-56
草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?$-17
Who will speak more at VP Debate?$-17
Pirates vs. Orioles$-10
Warriors vs. Grizzlies$-5
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$-2
Will there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.243
Sortino
-0.248
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.474
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.6h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 19506s — normal for humanCV 2.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.52
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.7%
Mid (20-55c)29.4%
High (>55c)55.9%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 7:18:03 PM4 trades$1,9004 min
8/1/2026, 12:45:30 PM2 trades$9540 min
12/5/2024, 11:33:33 AM1 trades$1860 min
12/18/2024, 10:54:41 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/19/2024, 8:13:04 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/4/2024, 1:31:33 PM1 trades$780 min
12/12/2024, 12:26:30 PM1 trades$560 min
12/2/2024, 11:12:30 AM1 trades$450 min
11/29/2024, 1:39:14 PM1 trades$260 min
9/30/2024, 1:06:17 PM1 trades$170 min
10/1/2024, 12:03:12 PM1 trades$170 min
9/11/2025, 10:29:05 AM1 trades$100 min
4/17/2025, 7:20:27 AM2 trades$60 min
4/17/2025, 12:57:32 PM1 trades$60 min
4/9/2025, 6:35:56 AM1 trades$60 min
4/9/2025, 11:16:28 AM1 trades$60 min
5/7/2025, 8:01:17 AM1 trades$50 min
5/7/2025, 2:01:53 PM1 trades$50 min
5/12/2025, 5:54:42 AM1 trades$50 min
5/12/2025, 11:50:12 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
12-04
12-18
04-03
04-17
05-07
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 281 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.7 / M29.4 / H55.9