@0x4ffa…3e2e

#2,627,91415

0x4ffaf611a0149b5c34ecd3b30e0e2a76a7323e2e

~56d· 958 markets · 3237 tradesVol: $138,8082026-08-04 22:03:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (134/932)0/20
0.99x (win $4,188 / loss $4,221)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3810/15
Sortino -0.6240/10
$-0.0052 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 25 (932 markets)10/10
20/50 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 263% of peak ($147 / $56)0/10

Badges

3
Diamond Hands
5% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#287,889$-133Vol: $138,808

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-133
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$138,808
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
958
total markets
Trades
3075B / 162S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-133
Vol: $138,808

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
134W / 798L events
Realized PnL
$-133
Win Rate
14%
134W / 798L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $264 (1.9881625574907638% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?$120
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?$74
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?$69
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?$56
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 11?$56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?$55
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?$53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?$52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$52
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 15?$52

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?$-51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.020
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
54.0
Very active
Markets / Day
16.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.2m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 303s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock54 trades/day — mass trading16 markets/day — mass coverage95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 1:22:18 PM18 trades$4019 min
5/20/2026, 10:22:32 AM18 trades$403 min
6/21/2026, 2:40:05 AM1 trades$380 min
7/10/2026, 5:44:01 AM7 trades$373 min
6/26/2026, 4:41:16 PM3 trades$350 min
6/7/2026, 4:07:10 AM13 trades$3418 min
6/7/2026, 4:10:15 PM12 trades$3311 min
5/31/2026, 3:45:38 AM1 trades$320 min
6/21/2026, 4:38:44 PM4 trades$301 min
6/16/2026, 9:27:31 PM2 trades$300 min
6/14/2026, 4:21:22 PM12 trades$3016 min
6/20/2026, 3:25:14 PM5 trades$2911 min
6/17/2026, 9:44:02 AM5 trades$296 min
6/13/2026, 10:46:52 PM2 trades$284 min
5/22/2026, 10:12:13 PM1 trades$280 min
6/17/2026, 7:57:44 AM10 trades$2728 min
6/6/2026, 9:55:37 PM10 trades$275 min
6/10/2026, 11:58:19 AM10 trades$2716 min
6/17/2026, 7:37:02 AM4 trades$278 min
6/5/2026, 7:49:09 PM29 trades$2624 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-20
06-03
06-13
06-22
06-30
07-09
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100