@Bloombergg

#67,45675

0x501870715d934653d1ebe8b4564df87b36e96108

~66d· 72 markets · 500 tradesVol: $196,8542026-08-05 16:38:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (38/66)13.8/20
1.35x (win $46,337 / loss $34,408)6.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.91515/15
Sortino 4.00710/10
$+0.1269 per $1 invested6.3/10
HHI 346 (66 markets)10/10
27/47 profitable days (57%)6.9/10
Max DD 38% of peak ($7,457 / $19,386)6.3/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,388
DCA Master
Avg 9.6 entries/market
Whale
$93,993 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,528$-2,573Vol: $117,401
💰 FINANCE#1,214$4,356Vol: $31,163
CRYPTO#22,127$1,781Vol: $19,651
📈 ECONOMICS#679,075$-982Vol: $15,544
💻 TECH#1,624$807Vol: $6,573
🎭 CULTURE#813,958$-2,000Vol: $6,523

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,388
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$196,854
Total Redeem
$3,140
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
148B / 352S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$19
Vol: $0
Week
$-20
Vol: $0
Month
$-170
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,388
Vol: $196,854

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
38W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$1,388
Win Rate
58%
38W / 28L
Profit Factor
1.35x
Avg Win
$1,219
Avg Loss
$-1,274

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,535 (11.189348814094021% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$6,709
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$5,843
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,983
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,705
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2,627
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2,018
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$1,969
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $1,741
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?$1,508
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$1,261

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-4,000
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-3,124
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-3,000
US debt downgrade in 2025?$-2,000
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-2,000
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-2,000
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-2,000
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-2,000
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$-2,000
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-1,054

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.099
Sortino
0.240
HHI
418
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.108
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
32.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 114s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.61
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.7%
Mid (20-55c)29.7%
High (>55c)65.5%

Sessions

#12
5/23/2026, 8:44:34 PM46 trades$15,0223 min
6/23/2026, 3:20:04 PM22 trades$6,7381 min
7/18/2026, 10:38:12 AM10 trades$5,5162 min
6/5/2026, 9:21:43 PM24 trades$4,6003 min
5/4/2026, 12:22:30 PM48 trades$4,5682 min
11/26/2025, 11:30:49 AM2 trades$4,4992 min
4/1/2026, 7:14:09 AM5 trades$4,4290 min
2/22/2026, 1:49:16 PM1 trades$4,2030 min
5/14/2026, 3:15:46 PM14 trades$3,5031 min
5/7/2026, 4:12:41 PM4 trades$3,0530 min
2/17/2026, 9:43:53 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
2/19/2026, 12:00:42 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
6/19/2026, 12:15:23 PM18 trades$2,8621 min
1/10/2026, 8:55:14 AM4 trades$2,8624 min
1/17/2026, 2:48:16 PM8 trades$2,6113 min
2/18/2026, 12:49:50 PM2 trades$2,5001 min
3/3/2026, 4:40:53 PM2 trades$2,5003 min
1/1/2026, 9:19:49 AM3 trades$2,3002 min
3/18/2026, 7:44:31 AM1 trades$2,2970 min
5/5/2026, 4:15:18 AM6 trades$2,0310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
01-01
02-24
03-18
04-04
05-04
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.7 / M29.7 / H65.5