@Mmessi

#2,792,4778

0x50421deacc2fc23fc2c50913cd0cd536ab04f786

~26d· 44 markets · 129 tradesVol: $20,7992026-08-05 01:10:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (6/42)0/20
0.19x (win $162 / loss $838)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -16.0510/15
Sortino -12.5320/10
$-0.6219 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 937 (42 markets)7.8/10
2/20 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($676 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,633,771$-69Vol: $13,438
🏛️ POLITICS#1,532,993$-116Vol: $4,860
₿ CRYPTO#1,457,632$-92Vol: $1,514
📈 ECONOMICS#645,989$-45Vol: $987

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-322
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,799
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
67B / 62S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Week
$-3
Vol: $5,925
Month
$-3
Vol: $5,925
All Time
$-322
Vol: $20,799

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
6W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-322
Win Rate
14%
6W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $115 (0.35828677839851025% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$46
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?$29
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?$23
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$21
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-177
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?$-60
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?$-41
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-41
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-04?$-40
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$-36
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08?$-34
XRP Up or Down on July 23?$-33
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.819
Sortino
-0.907
HHI
602
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.578
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
45.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 466s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.88
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.7%
Mid (20-55c)20.9%
High (>55c)10.4%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 8:25:49 PM2 trades$3600 min
7/9/2026, 8:29:05 AM8 trades$2941 min
6/26/2026, 7:09:26 PM4 trades$2601 min
7/6/2026, 10:22:07 AM9 trades$2160 min
7/19/2026, 9:54:40 AM8 trades$1991 min
7/23/2026, 12:09:27 PM9 trades$1890 min
1/8/2026, 10:28:03 AM3 trades$1801 min
6/16/2026, 8:33:25 PM3 trades$1780 min
1/15/2026, 4:13:44 PM2 trades$1490 min
1/10/2026, 2:50:36 PM2 trades$1023 min
2/13/2026, 12:16:39 PM3 trades$1006 min
6/26/2026, 7:00:44 PM2 trades$830 min
7/23/2026, 12:59:06 PM4 trades$830 min
2/19/2026, 2:16:52 PM2 trades$810 min
7/14/2026, 10:17:56 PM3 trades$810 min
1/10/2026, 4:30:28 PM1 trades$750 min
2/28/2026, 3:25:01 AM1 trades$570 min
2/28/2026, 6:53:55 AM3 trades$414 min
1/4/2026, 12:10:35 PM1 trades$400 min
1/10/2026, 5:37:16 PM1 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
01-15
02-14
03-01
06-16
06-26
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.88/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.7 / M20.9 / H10.4