@dpfrederick

#459,65975

0x508ff0da2f06ca19e5191efe4d8e40d0bb3a5a4f

~47d· 40 markets · 131 tradesVol: $57,4012026-08-04 22:38:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (25/28)20/20
3.22x (win $24 / loss $7)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.87615/15
Sortino 11.33910/10
$+0.0006 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4975 (28 markets)0/10
22/25 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($7 / $17)5/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+14
Consistent
22/25 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#195,887$17Vol: $57,219
🏛️ POLITICS#941,347$-1Vol: $110
💰 FINANCE#175,717$0Vol: $28
🎭 CULTURE#141,243$1Vol: $26
🌤️ WEATHER#198,031$-1Vol: $10
💻 TECH#89,483$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,401
Total Redeem
$2
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
64B / 67S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$14
Vol: $57,401

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
25W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$14
Win Rate
89%
25W / 3L
Profit Factor
3.22x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19 (1.3637031594415874% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30?$15
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$2
Peter Attia out by February 15?$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?$0
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?$0
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?$0
Will Solana reach $100 in March?$0

Top Losers

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$-5
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$-2
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.199
Sortino
0.265
HHI
4944
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
50.5%
Top-5 markets
99.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — normal for humanCV 2.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.4%

Sessions

#12
3/30/2026, 3:29:16 AM13 trades$10,55810 min
3/30/2026, 9:13:16 AM5 trades$10,3697 min
3/30/2026, 9:30:28 AM3 trades$7,3034 min
3/30/2026, 8:14:22 AM4 trades$6,7156 min
3/30/2026, 1:39:14 AM6 trades$5,1605 min
3/30/2026, 4:29:22 AM3 trades$4,7415 min
3/30/2026, 9:03:56 AM2 trades$3,6580 min
3/30/2026, 2:45:26 AM2 trades$3,1862 min
3/30/2026, 1:53:22 AM2 trades$1,8790 min
3/30/2026, 2:12:24 AM1 trades$9930 min
3/30/2026, 6:07:28 AM1 trades$9240 min
3/30/2026, 7:21:10 AM6 trades$6214 min
3/30/2026, 2:27:34 AM1 trades$5950 min
3/30/2026, 7:33:42 AM10 trades$2974 min
6/29/2026, 11:53:32 AM6 trades$160 min
3/2/2026, 2:45:47 PM2 trades$70 min
4/16/2026, 6:11:50 PM2 trades$60 min
3/30/2026, 3:59:54 AM1 trades$60 min
3/27/2026, 10:31:29 AM1 trades$60 min
4/2/2026, 2:22:31 AM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-07
02-25
03-09
03-19
03-25
04-06
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
3.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M0 / H98.4