@Ricil

#2,367,24413

0x50b11915d2ee7a0131e6df1dc856fcee4806988c

~64d· 161 markets · 507 tradesVol: $7,5922026-08-06 07:07:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (50/153)1.3/20
0.80x (win $620 / loss $770)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0150/15
Sortino -2.7490/10
$-0.1423 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 157 (153 markets)10/10
20/54 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 198% of peak ($304 / $154)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#9,885$55Vol: $2,868
CRYPTO#1,408,034$-57Vol: $1,701
🏛️ POLITICS#125,418$23Vol: $1,269
💰 FINANCE#31,533$34Vol: $1,044
SPORTS#1,670,156$-94Vol: $464
💻 TECH#223,299$-8Vol: $82
📈 ECONOMICS#195,100$0Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-52
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,592
Total Redeem
$6
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
161
total markets
Trades
258B / 249S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-32
Vol: $113
Month
$-41
Vol: $113
All Time
$-52
Vol: $7,592

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
50W / 103L events
Realized PnL
$-52
Win Rate
33%
50W / 103L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $242 (4.63584036838066% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?$103
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$94
Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?$44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?$28
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?$26
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$22
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in April?$19
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 Week of May 4 2026?$15

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-40
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$-36
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-30
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?$-30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-20
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$-18
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$-16
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.104
Sortino
-0.147
HHI
162
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.139
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
19.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 856s — normal for humanCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.6%
Mid (20-55c)48.4%
High (>55c)19%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 7:21:17 PM9 trades$934 min
7/28/2026, 8:51:19 PM7 trades$873 min
6/7/2026, 8:03:57 PM6 trades$811 min
6/17/2026, 4:46:14 PM18 trades$7812 min
6/8/2026, 8:23:00 AM9 trades$5811 min
4/21/2026, 1:04:10 PM5 trades$551 min
7/13/2026, 6:13:32 PM2 trades$510 min
5/6/2026, 4:01:59 PM2 trades$500 min
5/8/2026, 8:16:16 AM5 trades$490 min
3/14/2026, 4:45:23 AM1 trades$480 min
5/1/2026, 5:49:16 PM5 trades$460 min
5/9/2026, 8:17:31 AM8 trades$452 min
5/5/2026, 8:48:32 PM2 trades$400 min
6/15/2026, 6:13:22 PM13 trades$408 min
7/27/2026, 9:19:39 PM3 trades$390 min
5/7/2026, 7:54:10 PM2 trades$380 min
5/6/2026, 11:36:10 AM7 trades$371 min
4/20/2026, 11:44:56 AM10 trades$331 min
4/23/2026, 6:41:34 PM4 trades$330 min
4/29/2026, 3:31:16 PM6 trades$321 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-15
04-01
05-01
05-16
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 84 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.4/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.6 / M48.4 / H19