@old2017

#2,795,10132

0x50c81a11e4325ecb5dedf7d34dd40e285db5f649

~19d· 1572 markets · 11903 tradesVol: $83,5362026-08-04 19:18:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (1156/1570)20/20
0.82x (win $4,818 / loss $5,847)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.7360/15
Sortino -7.4560/10
$-0.0389 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 143 (1570 markets)10/10
7/19 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 1904% of peak ($1,105 / $58)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 74%
DCA Master
Avg 7.6 entries/market
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#274,863$-46Vol: $40,492
₿ CRYPTO#1,517,432$-161Vol: $39,469
🏛️ POLITICS#1,351,602$-17Vol: $1,764
⚽ SPORTS#1,694,441$-113Vol: $1,705
🎭 CULTURE#176,564$1Vol: $40
💰 FINANCE#145,124$1Vol: $29

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-329
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$83,536
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1572
total markets
Trades
5773B / 6130S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-329
Vol: $83,536

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
1156W / 414L events
Realized PnL
$-329
Win Rate
74%
1156W / 414L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $380 (1.1530751708428246% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?$150
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 20?$126
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?$104
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?$98
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 19?$96
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$95
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?$81
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$72
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$63
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 20?$58

Top Losers

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-368
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 19?$-184
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?$-165
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$-130
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?$-93
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-77
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?$-73
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?$-73
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?$-71

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.394
Sortino
-0.386
HHI
26
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
6.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
90.9
Very active
Markets / Day
12.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
43 min
Avg Trades / Session
143.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 2.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock91 trades/day — mass trading12 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)24.3%
High (>55c)71.8%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 7:28:46 AM179 trades$4,28833 min
6/20/2026, 2:43:49 PM152 trades$3,99752 min
6/18/2026, 7:08:28 PM215 trades$3,23375 min
6/20/2026, 1:39:02 AM384 trades$2,393100 min
6/19/2026, 11:34:07 PM19 trades$2,29213 min
6/20/2026, 9:30:20 AM79 trades$1,93045 min
6/19/2026, 3:49:19 PM384 trades$1,900115 min
6/19/2026, 12:25:05 PM386 trades$1,549122 min
6/18/2026, 2:17:26 PM631 trades$1,529118 min
6/18/2026, 11:49:11 AM474 trades$1,464129 min
6/19/2026, 5:53:13 PM122 trades$1,41145 min
4/7/2026, 11:01:47 PM2 trades$1,3640 min
6/17/2026, 6:10:14 PM78 trades$1,24628 min
6/20/2026, 3:58:40 AM195 trades$1,02327 min
6/19/2026, 10:33:05 PM91 trades$99728 min
6/19/2026, 5:12:49 AM301 trades$90780 min
6/17/2026, 11:46:32 PM97 trades$87139 min
6/19/2026, 8:34:58 AM126 trades$87059 min
6/17/2026, 1:05:19 AM33 trades$77917 min
6/15/2026, 4:45:48 AM11 trades$7785 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-17
02-21
06-15
06-18
06-21
06-24
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 122 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
66% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.9 / M24.3 / H71.8