@0x50df…597d

16

0x50df532b9884038a30dbd96590ea7306fc72597d

~28d· 85 markets · 215 trades2026-08-05 00:12:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (33/85)4.4/20
0.81x (win $1,028 / loss $1,271)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9950/15
Sortino -3.6720/10
$-0.1578 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 166 (85 markets)10/10
10/28 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 578% of peak ($513 / $89)0/10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-60
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,545
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
105B / 110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
33W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-60
Win Rate
39%
33W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $286 (4.777684844429575% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Spurs$100
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$94
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$92
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$68
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$47
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$41
France vs. England: O/U 2.5$39
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.5$38
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score$36
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$35

Top Losers

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5$-100
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-76
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?$-76
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-70
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-64
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-64
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score$-58
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5$-52
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5$-48
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.154
Sortino
-0.205
HHI
269
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
22.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5499s — normal for humanCV 0.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.02
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.2%
Mid (20-55c)31.4%
High (>55c)52.4%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 10:54:25 PM8 trades$1785 min
7/12/2026, 3:04:05 AM2 trades$1340 min
7/4/2026, 9:38:28 PM2 trades$1140 min
6/27/2026, 8:38:46 PM4 trades$1095 min
6/21/2026, 4:56:19 AM4 trades$834 min
6/29/2026, 7:53:28 PM2 trades$740 min
7/11/2026, 8:05:28 PM2 trades$730 min
6/17/2026, 6:11:01 PM4 trades$702 min
6/24/2026, 11:06:28 AM4 trades$692 min
6/16/2026, 1:34:59 PM4 trades$691 min
6/16/2026, 11:47:07 PM4 trades$681 min
6/18/2026, 1:41:40 PM4 trades$640 min
6/28/2026, 3:20:43 AM2 trades$640 min
6/26/2026, 11:42:20 PM4 trades$634 min
6/9/2026, 10:11:19 PM2 trades$620 min
6/25/2026, 12:35:41 AM2 trades$600 min
6/12/2026, 6:54:04 PM2 trades$600 min
6/13/2026, 4:10:00 PM2 trades$600 min
7/18/2026, 8:52:19 PM4 trades$600 min
6/17/2026, 12:19:10 AM2 trades$570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-12
06-16
06-20
06-26
07-03
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.2 / M31.4 / H52.4