@0x510b43…4153

#2,661,28542

0x510b439c14945e34ea66f538ab8b9d314e5c8261

~29d· 58 markets · 533 tradesVol: $31,7952026-08-04 21:50:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (49/58)20/20
0.97x (win $619 / loss $637)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1610/15
Sortino -0.1830/10
$-0.0015 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 282 (58 markets)10/10
21/26 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 105% of peak ($377 / $360)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 84%
DCA Master
Avg 9.3 entries/market
Consistent
21/26 profitable days
Win Streak
28 wins in a row

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#289,328$-159Vol: $30,395
🎭 CULTURE#84,197$6Vol: $1,051
SPORTS#1,135,458$-3Vol: $349

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-156
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,795
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
191B / 342S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
49W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-156
Win Rate
84%
49W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-91

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $224 (1.433674775928297% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?$86
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$83
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?$55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 15?$39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?$35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?$24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?$22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10?$21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?$18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?$17

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?$-230
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$-183
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?$-66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 7?$-66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 7?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?$-25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.008
Sortino
-0.006
HHI
294
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
24%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 608s — normal for humanCV 1.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity16 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)1%
High (>55c)97.4%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 9:17:20 AM23 trades$8750 min
6/27/2026, 6:59:49 PM5 trades$8162 min
6/27/2026, 4:04:11 AM17 trades$6330 min
6/17/2026, 4:43:11 PM16 trades$5871 min
6/15/2026, 6:37:36 AM10 trades$5353 min
6/19/2026, 5:38:08 AM10 trades$4752 min
6/14/2026, 2:29:19 PM7 trades$4100 min
6/26/2026, 8:57:41 AM2 trades$3730 min
6/15/2026, 5:33:31 AM13 trades$3711 min
6/13/2026, 4:48:22 PM4 trades$3644 min
6/19/2026, 1:51:22 PM12 trades$3611 min
6/16/2026, 3:40:15 AM2 trades$3600 min
6/19/2026, 7:06:28 PM12 trades$3251 min
6/16/2026, 1:50:28 PM23 trades$3123 min
6/15/2026, 12:07:01 PM8 trades$2793 min
6/14/2026, 6:25:24 AM7 trades$2740 min
6/21/2026, 8:05:56 AM2 trades$2680 min
6/20/2026, 1:39:47 PM3 trades$2610 min
6/18/2026, 5:25:26 AM13 trades$2562 min
6/16/2026, 6:06:04 PM10 trades$2432 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-08
06-12
06-16
06-21
06-28
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M1 / H97.4