@0x512042…2007

#1,562,24023

0x512042391097f2258c41e5bb2a9cffe80637d51e

~12d· 40 markets · 118 tradesVol: $2,7162026-08-05 17:24:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (18/28)17.1/20
0.45x (win $44 / loss $98)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.9890/15
Sortino -6.7650/10
$-0.0373 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3043 (28 markets)0/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 528% of peak ($66 / $12)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,317,642$-13Vol: $1,602
⚽ SPORTS#184,330$38Vol: $573
📈 ECONOMICS#113,918$1Vol: $372
🎭 CULTURE#700,647$-12Vol: $126
💰 FINANCE#596,738$-20Vol: $27
🌤️ WEATHER#44,790$2Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,716
Total Redeem
$205
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
59B / 59S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4
Vol: $2,716

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
18W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-4
Win Rate
64%
18W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (4.241379310344827% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$7
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$6
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$4
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?$4
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$2
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$2

Top Losers

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-41
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$-10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-4
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.349
Sortino
-0.320
HHI
2825
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
47.1%
Top-5 markets
85.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.5m
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 184s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.93
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.3%
Mid (20-55c)13.6%
High (>55c)71.2%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 6:46:05 AM2 trades$3390 min
4/7/2026, 4:53:01 AM2 trades$3380 min
4/1/2026, 8:42:25 AM13 trades$3184 min
7/10/2026, 12:23:04 PM3 trades$1970 min
7/10/2026, 12:09:35 PM10 trades$1517 min
3/30/2026, 8:39:36 AM3 trades$1154 min
4/13/2026, 4:41:03 AM10 trades$1104 min
3/31/2026, 12:01:45 PM1 trades$1090 min
4/13/2026, 3:40:59 AM14 trades$1021 min
3/20/2026, 3:00:33 AM4 trades$907 min
7/12/2026, 3:07:04 AM10 trades$722 min
3/30/2026, 8:34:00 AM1 trades$500 min
6/4/2026, 3:52:48 AM4 trades$502 min
7/12/2026, 3:33:56 AM4 trades$463 min
7/10/2026, 11:28:41 AM3 trades$310 min
7/10/2026, 11:59:52 AM2 trades$300 min
7/12/2026, 1:16:07 AM4 trades$271 min
3/20/2026, 2:44:51 AM2 trades$203 min
4/1/2026, 8:34:59 AM2 trades$160 min
4/1/2026, 7:49:19 AM3 trades$160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
03-30
03-31
04-01
04-08
04-13
06-04
07-02
07-08
07-10
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 104 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.3 / M13.6 / H71.2