@0x5139D8…4915

#7,40768

0x5139d82046fa5b7f45d729eb814b811a54db9402

~68d· 83 markets · 1646 tradesVol: $671,8532026-08-04 19:58:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (12/81)0/20
3.57x (win $111,608 / loss $31,254)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.79015/15
Sortino 24.09010/10
$+1.8263 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 874 (81 markets)8.1/10
10/41 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($15,819 / $96,173)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+21,335
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#2,050$21,852Vol: $565,521
📈 ECONOMICS#676,926$-608Vol: $91,145
SPORTS#121,479$100Vol: $14,587
💰 FINANCE#569,196$-10Vol: $600

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$21,335
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$671,853
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
730B / 916S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-92
Vol: $0
All Time
$21,335
Vol: $671,853

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
12W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$21,335
Win Rate
15%
12W / 68L
Profit Factor
3.57x
Avg Win
$9,301
Avg Loss
$-466

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $104,461 (4.896164085642506% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$85,128
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10,719
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$8,614
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$2,745
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,306
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1,230
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$783
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$404
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$316
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$192

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-6,889
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,444
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$-1,822
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$-1,803
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-1,677
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-1,610
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-1,399
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-1,226
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-1,189
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$-997

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.144
Sortino
1.269
HHI
993
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.329
Kelly %
0.9%
Half-Kelly
0.4%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
58.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 228s — normal for humanCV 2.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.6%
Mid (20-55c)14.9%
High (>55c)22.5%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 7:49:06 PM9 trades$39,00010 min
4/7/2026, 11:43:29 PM1 trades$24,3570 min
6/12/2026, 7:10:58 PM2 trades$11,0000 min
5/9/2026, 3:02:01 AM7 trades$10,5010 min
4/6/2026, 8:04:35 PM12 trades$9,0783 min
6/11/2026, 6:34:54 PM14 trades$8,4347 min
6/18/2026, 10:01:31 PM8 trades$7,9510 min
6/18/2026, 9:49:47 PM32 trades$7,8181 min
5/21/2026, 8:20:30 PM7 trades$7,1024 min
5/21/2026, 7:54:38 PM16 trades$5,1312 min
5/9/2026, 2:56:55 AM20 trades$3,8460 min
6/16/2026, 5:04:01 AM18 trades$3,5901 min
6/17/2026, 6:18:37 PM23 trades$3,47111 min
6/4/2026, 5:50:48 AM2 trades$3,2180 min
6/16/2026, 5:24:50 PM2 trades$3,1640 min
6/11/2026, 9:01:31 AM23 trades$3,0316 min
5/15/2026, 9:02:11 AM4 trades$3,0000 min
6/4/2026, 12:00:33 AM11 trades$2,8325 min
5/4/2026, 9:04:32 PM6 trades$2,7644 min
6/17/2026, 1:02:52 AM10 trades$2,7181 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-02
04-21
05-15
05-26
06-09
06-16
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.86/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.6 / M14.9 / H22.5