@lightningbolts

#18,59686

0x515d285a7d5065d0406db39f8626313502c80340

~16d· 72 markets · 573 tradesVol: $372,5812026-08-06 02:53:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (39/70)12.9/20
2.00x (win $46,035 / loss $23,038)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.54115/15
Sortino 13.10510/10
$+0.2979 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 316 (70 markets)10/10
32/54 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 41% of peak ($10,114 / $24,752)5.8/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+7,027
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
Whale
$77,210 invested
High Roller
$3,677/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,446
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$372,581
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
197B / 376S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-12
Vol: $33
Week
$352
Vol: $73,597
Month
$11,533
Vol: $95,414
All Time
$7,446
Vol: $372,581

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
39W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$7,027
Win Rate
56%
39W / 31L
Profit Factor
2x
Avg Win
$1,180
Avg Loss
$-823

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,787 (2.1041937333775413% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$5,110
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$4,922
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group$4,756
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$4,076
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$2,927
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner$2,307
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season$1,959
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1,942
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner$1,929
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner$1,905

Top Losers

LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winner$-3,923
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-3,171
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner$-2,167
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner$-2,104
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$-1,509
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$-1,348
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$-1,163
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-985
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner$-979
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner$-708

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.287
Sortino
0.621
HHI
336
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.299
Kelly %
16.8%
Half-Kelly
8.4%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
28.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.3
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 421s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity27 trades/day — high frequency3.4 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.97
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)53.8%
High (>55c)45.2%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 11:31:17 AM3 trades$10,2740 min
7/17/2026, 2:24:04 PM27 trades$8,4319 min
7/25/2026, 8:17:51 PM20 trades$8,2143 min
8/3/2026, 11:33:35 AM11 trades$5,3847 min
7/31/2026, 8:25:15 AM5 trades$4,4630 min
8/2/2026, 10:17:05 AM9 trades$4,3637 min
7/26/2026, 7:37:27 PM23 trades$4,26712 min
7/17/2026, 12:08:07 PM12 trades$4,2663 min
7/29/2026, 10:18:47 AM6 trades$4,2090 min
7/26/2026, 11:29:21 AM18 trades$3,9167 min
7/24/2026, 7:15:40 PM14 trades$3,8123 min
7/25/2026, 3:08:39 PM12 trades$3,6511 min
7/22/2026, 5:16:40 PM5 trades$3,5510 min
7/25/2026, 4:46:22 PM8 trades$3,2245 min
8/1/2026, 9:21:14 AM2 trades$3,1680 min
7/31/2026, 9:18:18 AM2 trades$3,0330 min
7/20/2026, 9:05:19 PM7 trades$2,9380 min
7/26/2026, 8:50:48 PM8 trades$2,9372 min
8/2/2026, 1:26:47 PM12 trades$2,6223 min
7/24/2026, 7:28:42 PM14 trades$2,55414 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-15 16:10:00
2026-07-22 22:00:00
2026-07-26 05:00:00
2026-07-29 14:00:00
2026-07-31 03:00:00
2026-08-02 14:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M53.8 / H45.2