@winteriscoming
#345,059780x517eb6402c2117f0e66405454c1b28489c8cd029
~16d· 30 markets · 84 tradesVol: $108,4062026-08-05 16:43:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (15/27)12.8/20
1.56x (win $129 / loss $83)9.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.20515/15
Sortino 1599.73310/10
$+0.0468 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 776 (27 markets)8.6/10
10/12 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $46)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+38
Consistent
10/12 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#518,911$0Vol: $69,912
🏛️ POLITICS#128,077$22Vol: $38,044
₿ CRYPTO#378,740$2Vol: $336
💰 FINANCE#47,332$14Vol: $102
📈 ECONOMICS#268,088$0Vol: $10
🎭 CULTURE#321,365$0Vol: $2
Overview
#1Net PnL
$38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$108,406
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
41B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$38
Vol: $108,406
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
15W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$38
Win Rate
56%
15W / 12L
Profit Factor
1.56x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $115 (2.9929522317932653% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?$71
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$29
Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?$15
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$11
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?$2
Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?$1
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$0
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0
Will a Republican win Hawaii Presidential Election?$0
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?$0
Top Losers
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?$-70
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 11?$-8
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Apr 11?$-3
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11?$-2
Will a candidate from another party win Hawaii Presidential Election?$-0
Will Minnesota be the tipping point state?$-0
Will New Hampshire be the tipping point state?$-0
Will New Mexico be the tipping point state?$-0
Will Maine be the tipping point state?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.461
Sortino
inf
HHI
840
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
51.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
44.0m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.63
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)73.2%
Sessions
#1210/23/2024, 5:56:33 PM5 trades$1474 min
8/31/2024, 4:28:05 PM10 trades$1362 min
7/9/2026, 10:12:56 AM14 trades$1274 min
11/14/2024, 7:56:11 AM2 trades$891 min
2/4/2026, 1:58:30 PM1 trades$880 min
5/22/2025, 1:57:27 PM2 trades$850 min
4/10/2025, 1:13:01 PM7 trades$845 min
2/19/2025, 10:44:46 AM1 trades$840 min
1/16/2025, 10:36:23 AM1 trades$840 min
11/14/2024, 3:24:21 PM1 trades$830 min
12/12/2024, 6:37:12 PM10 trades$836 min
8/26/2024, 12:09:49 PM1 trades$660 min
9/11/2024, 3:27:37 PM2 trades$471 min
9/19/2024, 2:35:29 PM1 trades$350 min
9/11/2024, 6:17:51 PM1 trades$300 min
8/31/2024, 4:35:45 PM4 trades$306 min
11/5/2024, 7:37:47 PM2 trades$120 min
9/11/2024, 7:25:05 PM1 trades$60 min
10/4/2024, 10:49:11 AM1 trades$50 min
10/5/2024, 1:41:48 PM2 trades$20 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-31
10-05
11-05
12-12
02-19
05-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.4 / M2.4 / H73.2