@0x5408F4…3637

#2,927,68817

0x5408f435a820b1daa01b6a6ec8cadcc5b94e590f

~39d· 332 markets · 1149 tradesVol: $102,1022026-08-04 19:59:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (132/332)4.9/20
0.75x (win $2,000 / loss $2,682)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9510/15
Sortino -3.2290/10
$-0.1400 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 246 (332 markets)10/10
14/35 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 619% of peak ($814 / $131)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,480,811$-60Vol: $65,101
⚽ SPORTS#1,801,450$-538Vol: $24,248
₿ CRYPTO#1,580,897$-411Vol: $12,742

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,008
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$102,102
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
332
total markets
Trades
760B / 389S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Month
$-10
Vol: $20
All Time
$-1,008
Vol: $102,102

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
132W / 200L events
Realized PnL
$-1,008
Win Rate
40%
132W / 200L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $447 (0.4434919784504569% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$212
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$133
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)$102
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)$98
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$72
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$70
Spread: Canada (-1.5)$65
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$52
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?$51
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$49

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$-184
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$-125
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-95
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-89
Warriors vs. Timberwolves$-75
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-68
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$-55

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.152
Sortino
-0.143
HHI
152
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.9%
Mid (20-55c)37.4%
High (>55c)11.7%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 9:51:16 PM15 trades$2,0141 min
6/23/2026, 8:23:32 PM7 trades$1,3603 min
6/17/2026, 2:01:56 PM44 trades$89017 min
6/18/2026, 5:02:26 PM11 trades$4071 min
6/18/2026, 10:44:17 PM8 trades$3605 min
6/17/2026, 8:44:47 AM19 trades$3148 min
6/19/2026, 8:51:17 AM22 trades$3078 min
6/11/2026, 8:21:07 PM4 trades$3011 min
6/18/2026, 10:37:16 PM4 trades$2682 min
1/24/2026, 8:32:50 PM3 trades$2574 min
6/17/2026, 11:04:38 PM20 trades$22914 min
1/23/2026, 4:09:02 AM14 trades$20314 min
6/19/2026, 6:00:19 AM13 trades$1922 min
6/29/2026, 11:57:05 PM3 trades$1870 min
6/19/2026, 9:07:49 AM15 trades$1840 min
6/18/2026, 11:01:25 PM4 trades$1630 min
1/27/2026, 3:32:03 AM3 trades$1250 min
6/17/2026, 12:55:11 PM8 trades$1251 min
2/15/2026, 10:49:49 AM7 trades$1177 min
6/11/2026, 6:43:00 PM2 trades$1160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
02-05
02-12
02-18
06-17
06-29
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.9 / M37.4 / H11.7