Trincheiras

@Trincheiras

#2,810,75341

0x5415e5ebd9c07d978a6a0a3c5220d0dc8bfc2159

~129d· 147 markets · 1296 tradesVol: $57,6862026-08-04 17:22:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (103/133)20/20
0.84x (win $618 / loss $732)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6860/15
Sortino -0.9170/10
$-0.0111 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 445 (133 markets)10/10
37/51 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 169% of peak ($361 / $214)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.3 entries/market
Consistent
37/51 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,360,502$-40Vol: $17,270
SPORTS#1,481,285$-23Vol: $10,911
💰 FINANCE#628,747$-85Vol: $8,282
📈 ECONOMICS#649,721$-54Vol: $5,666
🎭 CULTURE#84,445$6Vol: $5,264
🏛️ POLITICS#141,315$17Vol: $1,873

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-371
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,686
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
147
total markets
Trades
809B / 487S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $55
Week
$2
Vol: $69
Month
$2
Vol: $69
All Time
$-371
Vol: $57,686

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
103W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-371
Win Rate
77%
103W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $425 (1.147102445864682% of PnL)

Top Winners

Canada recession before 2027?$290
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$85
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 5.5$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$25
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5$23
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics$16
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$10
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$10

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$-293
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$-193
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$-122
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?$-37
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?$-26
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5$-21
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22?$-12
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-9
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.026
HHI
121
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
16.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 960s — normal for humanCV 2.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.8%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)42.4%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 1:54:18 PM14 trades$1,0221 min
7/26/2026, 5:02:10 AM28 trades$5033 min
4/23/2026, 8:08:20 AM17 trades$4918 min
6/1/2026, 7:10:38 PM8 trades$4231 min
7/15/2026, 6:20:08 PM4 trades$4150 min
7/28/2026, 9:35:19 AM17 trades$4120 min
4/20/2026, 10:00:28 AM15 trades$3785 min
7/6/2026, 6:14:01 PM4 trades$3090 min
7/15/2026, 8:18:37 PM4 trades$2850 min
7/26/2026, 2:48:03 AM40 trades$27530 min
7/4/2026, 5:40:29 PM2 trades$2360 min
4/21/2026, 9:54:24 AM7 trades$2293 min
4/13/2026, 12:58:35 PM6 trades$2173 min
1/26/2026, 8:59:29 PM1 trades$2150 min
1/26/2026, 4:56:03 PM1 trades$2150 min
1/26/2026, 10:30:45 AM1 trades$2150 min
1/29/2026, 7:10:26 AM1 trades$2110 min
4/15/2026, 11:45:38 AM9 trades$2115 min
4/8/2026, 12:13:25 PM11 trades$2084 min
6/26/2026, 8:31:14 PM2 trades$1960 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-21
01-25
02-08
02-23
06-13
07-04
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.8 / M31.8 / H42.4