@mitchellbilly

#445,47444

0x542c6b387d2d55e6e01ed3496afa5fde0f2d57a1

~19d· 18 markets · 38 tradesVol: $2,4062026-08-05 03:15:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (7/16)6.9/20
1.32x (win $47 / loss $36)6.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.98515/15
Sortino 2.99110/10
$+0.0187 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 1833 (16 markets)3.3/10
5/14 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 91% of peak ($21 / $24)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+15
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#261,760$13Vol: $1,124
🏛️ POLITICS#864,530$-1Vol: $670
📈 ECONOMICS#554,319$-4Vol: $346
₿ CRYPTO#965,568$-3Vol: $235
💰 FINANCE#55,313$10Vol: $23
🎭 CULTURE#388,108$-0Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,406
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
21B / 17S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$15
Vol: $2,406

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
7W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$15
Win Rate
44%
7W / 9L
Profit Factor
1.32x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (2.170006464124111% of PnL)

Top Winners

Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5$15
Will Designer Brands Inc (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 11AM ET$9
UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5$8
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$2
Bitcoin above $112K on August 22?$2
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1

Top Losers

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$-15
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 3 IR Iran?$-12
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-3
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-1
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-1
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?$-1
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?$-1
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.100
Sortino
0.145
HHI
947
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.023
Kelly %
31.7%
Half-Kelly
15.8%
Top-1 market
23.2%
Top-5 markets
58.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
48.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2924s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal3% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)66.7%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 6:10:23 PM4 trades$4680 min
8/26/2025, 7:07:51 PM1 trades$820 min
8/26/2025, 7:12:53 PM1 trades$800 min
8/27/2025, 3:01:17 AM1 trades$700 min
8/27/2025, 3:38:53 AM1 trades$680 min
8/24/2025, 2:45:53 PM1 trades$590 min
8/24/2025, 3:18:41 PM1 trades$580 min
8/21/2025, 4:18:38 PM1 trades$530 min
8/20/2025, 2:31:18 PM1 trades$520 min
8/21/2025, 12:44:10 PM1 trades$510 min
8/20/2025, 3:27:56 PM1 trades$510 min
8/21/2025, 2:43:42 PM1 trades$440 min
8/21/2025, 3:34:38 PM1 trades$430 min
8/21/2025, 7:18:52 AM1 trades$330 min
9/24/2025, 4:10:26 PM1 trades$330 min
9/24/2025, 4:45:42 PM1 trades$320 min
9/17/2025, 1:54:06 AM1 trades$320 min
9/17/2025, 2:52:46 AM1 trades$310 min
9/19/2025, 10:04:38 AM1 trades$310 min
8/21/2025, 8:07:36 AM1 trades$310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
08-21
08-27
09-19
11-14
02-15
03-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 287 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.8 / M28.6 / H66.7