@kilpper
#81,488220x54da7a53f0f1cfa137b66f35d69677a9e9461fac
~29d· 171 markets · 4269 tradesVol: $318,2832026-08-04 20:06:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (83/171)9.3/20
0.85x (win $13,087 / loss $15,406)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5160/15
Sortino -3.2090/10
$-0.0295 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 146 (171 markets)10/10
11/29 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 546% of peak ($3,039 / $557)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+1,001
DCA Master
Avg 25.3 entries/market
Whale
$78,589 invested
High Roller
$1,828/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
70% maker orders
Categories
2⚽ SPORTS#31,953$1,301Vol: $305,048
₿ CRYPTO#203,588$15Vol: $628
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,001
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$318,283
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
171
total markets
Trades
3007B / 1262S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
83W / 88L events
Realized PnL
$1,001
Win Rate
49%
83W / 88L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$158
Avg Loss
$-177
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,995 (2.992885549271568% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?$1,095
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)$958
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)$943
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$886
Spread: Norway (-1.5)$841
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)$722
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)$633
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$443
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)$442
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?$423
Top Losers
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-1,852
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?$-775
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)$-759
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)$-697
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$-604
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)$-518
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?$-515
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$-480
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-395
Spread: France (-2.5)$-333
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.129
Sortino
-0.182
HHI
144
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
14.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
99.3
Very active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.5m
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
55.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule99 trades/day — mass trading4.0 markets/day — normal70% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
25.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.1%
Mid (20-55c)20.2%
High (>55c)71.7%
Sessions
#126/27/2026, 4:08:11 AM154 trades$5,28348 min
6/27/2026, 11:41:26 PM61 trades$3,32622 min
6/24/2026, 12:06:02 AM90 trades$3,27825 min
6/27/2026, 3:12:08 AM76 trades$3,11130 min
7/11/2026, 11:09:04 PM53 trades$2,99215 min
6/25/2026, 2:20:34 AM85 trades$2,79934 min
6/27/2026, 1:37:17 AM46 trades$2,64317 min
6/24/2026, 3:34:19 AM90 trades$2,63023 min
7/9/2026, 9:36:05 PM112 trades$2,58124 min
6/18/2026, 3:16:37 AM118 trades$2,38644 min
6/23/2026, 11:33:20 PM45 trades$2,37814 min
6/28/2026, 3:14:58 AM158 trades$2,31044 min
6/23/2026, 1:06:53 AM62 trades$2,13919 min
6/24/2026, 11:23:50 PM110 trades$2,05338 min
6/24/2026, 7:28:52 PM45 trades$1,73322 min
6/25/2026, 11:07:14 PM66 trades$1,66233 min
6/26/2026, 8:27:34 PM61 trades$1,62036 min
6/22/2026, 6:36:10 PM71 trades$1,57326 min
6/21/2026, 11:11:59 PM70 trades$1,53124 min
6/23/2026, 12:20:55 AM66 trades$1,46927 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-21
06-25
06-30
07-11
07-17
07-22
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.1 / M20.2 / H71.7