airdropper2

@airdropper2

#32,46689

0x55198bd9ca86ff7f3981248c9d89427e4b901986

~17d· 25 markets · 229 tradesVol: $37,6932026-08-04 23:42:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (14/25)13/20
3.13x (win $4,211 / loss $1,343)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 13.69015/15
Sortino 99.39510/10
$+0.3899 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 833 (25 markets)8.3/10
10/16 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($134 / $2,897)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+3,683
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 9.2 entries/market
Consistent
10/16 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
SPORTS#26,207$1,668Vol: $24,428
🏛️ POLITICS#15,987$1,202Vol: $5,306
🎭 CULTURE#5,838$807Vol: $2,087
🌤️ WEATHER#266,275$-26Vol: $2,067

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,683
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,693
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
123B / 106S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
14W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$3,683
Win Rate
56%
14W / 11L
Profit Factor
3.13x
Avg Win
$301
Avg Loss
$-134

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,725 (0.7400480085155375% of PnL)

Top Winners

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$1,380
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$775
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$570
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$460
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?$407
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$306
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$81
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$74
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$73
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$60

Top Losers

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-877
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-166
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$-147
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?$-48
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$-41
Counter-Strike: Voca vs regain - Map 2 Winner$-27
MLB All-Star Game$-18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 8?$-9
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?$-5
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.694
Sortino
3.547
HHI
1028
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.390
Kelly %
18.0%
Half-Kelly
9.0%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
66.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.16
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.8%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)47.2%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 1:53:47 AM5 trades$1,4271 min
6/25/2026, 9:40:52 PM13 trades$1,2387 min
6/17/2026, 4:25:56 PM2 trades$7224 min
6/18/2026, 11:00:50 AM1 trades$6420 min
6/24/2026, 11:44:08 PM4 trades$6090 min
6/17/2026, 12:40:16 PM14 trades$6091 min
7/7/2026, 2:11:47 AM1 trades$5110 min
7/6/2026, 8:59:37 PM12 trades$4765 min
7/11/2026, 2:45:52 AM11 trades$45313 min
6/26/2026, 12:16:35 PM17 trades$4155 min
7/14/2026, 4:16:14 PM6 trades$3830 min
6/24/2026, 9:57:25 PM1 trades$3750 min
7/13/2026, 2:20:13 PM10 trades$3111 min
7/8/2026, 9:27:05 PM11 trades$3090 min
6/23/2026, 5:42:22 PM3 trades$2570 min
6/17/2026, 10:00:13 AM6 trades$2360 min
6/17/2026, 4:50:52 AM5 trades$2260 min
6/24/2026, 8:53:25 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/25/2026, 8:12:25 PM3 trades$1651 min
6/17/2026, 4:14:50 AM9 trades$1582 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-19
06-24
06-26
07-02
07-07
07-11
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.8 / M26 / H47.2