@Hans343

#2,495,77520

0x553b30413a186c1145053cc61aff93d04175b5be

~9d· 59 markets · 347 tradesVol: $17,6152026-08-04 21:51:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (23/59)4.5/20
0.79x (win $384 / loss $484)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7440/15
Sortino -2.1360/10
$-0.0196 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 637 (59 markets)9.3/10
5/9 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($312 / $0)0/10

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#282,992$-84Vol: $17,615

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-84
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,615
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
206B / 141S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
23W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-84
Win Rate
39%
23W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $222 (2.6322710579315247% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 18?$140
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 18?$54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 16?$28
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 16?$26
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 19?$23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?$19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 17?$17
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?$15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?$12
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 20?$9

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?$-204
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?$-136
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?$-33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?$-25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or below on June 22?$-23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 16?$-16
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 19?$-12
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?$-10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 25?$-9
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 17?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
947
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.2%
Top-5 markets
61%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.7
Active
Markets / Day
5.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.1m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 218s — normal for humanCV 2.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity35 trades/day — high frequency5.9 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.88
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.5%
Mid (20-55c)4.9%
High (>55c)78.6%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 10:29:14 AM34 trades$8859 min
6/21/2026, 2:58:32 AM1 trades$6790 min
6/19/2026, 11:36:44 AM15 trades$4556 min
6/18/2026, 4:46:58 PM1 trades$4530 min
6/18/2026, 10:16:04 AM7 trades$3190 min
6/16/2026, 11:01:04 AM6 trades$2844 min
6/16/2026, 9:23:23 PM8 trades$2325 min
6/16/2026, 9:50:17 PM3 trades$2125 min
6/25/2026, 7:54:02 PM7 trades$2101 min
6/18/2026, 10:38:47 AM8 trades$19510 min
6/17/2026, 1:19:19 PM14 trades$16610 min
6/17/2026, 10:26:29 AM19 trades$1636 min
6/16/2026, 8:39:52 PM16 trades$15316 min
6/16/2026, 10:30:36 AM5 trades$1500 min
6/18/2026, 2:01:10 AM1 trades$1410 min
6/16/2026, 9:09:41 PM8 trades$1276 min
6/17/2026, 12:45:59 PM14 trades$1132 min
6/17/2026, 1:36:58 PM7 trades$1116 min
6/16/2026, 9:03:04 PM2 trades$1021 min
6/17/2026, 1:56:10 AM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-21
06-22
06-24
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.5 / M4.9 / H78.6