@weather-alpha.con
#119,739740x556bb60768b7f4bea93632abf2b333357d7b4e33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
76% (142/188)20/20
1.54x (win $907 / loss $590)9.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.51615/15
Sortino 2.99310/10
$+0.0037 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 139 (188 markets)10/10
28/32 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 113% of peak ($358 / $318)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+114
DCA Master
Avg 10.9 entries/market
Whale
$86,376 invested
Consistent
28/32 profitable days
High Roller
$2,057/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#2,721$466Vol: $655,017
Overview
#1Net PnL
$466
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$655,017
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
195
total markets
Trades
705B / 1452S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d
Periods
#2Today
$374
Vol: $11,594
Week
$499
Vol: $41,514
Month
$865
Vol: $53,330
All Time
$466
Vol: $655,017
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
76%
142W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$114
Win Rate
76%
142W / 46L
Profit Factor
1.54x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-42
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $330 (2.8867115737905698% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 8?$158
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 27?$90
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 10?$82
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?$81
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 12?$61
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 24?$49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?$39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 22?$36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 13?$26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 27?$24
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?$-386
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 8?$-85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 10?$-21
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 30?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 8?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 27?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 10?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.130
Sortino
0.050
HHI
142
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
17.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
51.4
Very active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.6m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.3
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 129s — normal for humanCV 1.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock51 trades/day — mass trading4.6 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.92
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)90.5%
Sessions
#127/8/2026, 7:03:35 PM36 trades$7,5957 min
7/8/2026, 7:58:20 AM67 trades$5,06819 min
7/10/2026, 7:59:46 AM81 trades$4,16919 min
7/9/2026, 6:33:19 PM20 trades$3,0771 min
6/29/2026, 12:05:53 PM11 trades$2,9970 min
7/10/2026, 8:41:28 AM66 trades$2,9097 min
7/11/2026, 1:46:10 PM20 trades$2,8124 min
7/10/2026, 12:06:58 AM6 trades$2,6350 min
7/27/2026, 8:11:33 AM85 trades$2,33712 min
7/8/2026, 8:54:32 AM20 trades$2,2432 min
7/10/2026, 9:11:53 AM24 trades$2,1835 min
7/7/2026, 11:25:50 AM24 trades$2,1651 min
7/22/2026, 9:30:57 AM1 trades$1,7840 min
7/14/2026, 6:01:46 AM41 trades$1,71829 min
7/11/2026, 8:02:47 PM12 trades$1,6780 min
7/13/2026, 6:53:26 PM17 trades$1,5855 min
7/9/2026, 4:11:59 AM11 trades$1,4760 min
7/27/2026, 8:28:46 AM65 trades$1,47323 min
7/12/2026, 4:30:02 PM9 trades$1,4320 min
7/14/2026, 12:00:11 AM24 trades$1,3092 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
06-28
07-07
07-12
07-18
07-26
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.8 / M7.7 / H90.5