@Oliver1978

#38,76298

0x565e2a6c5f7a82a439cf70ff6a331071f95e875d

~86d· 112 markets · 1133 tradesVol: $88,8702026-08-04 19:00:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (76/96)20/20
4.49x (win $10,359 / loss $2,310)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.49115/15
Sortino 15.90710/10
$+0.1691 per $1 invested8.5/10
HHI 326 (96 markets)10/10
43/51 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($1,342 / $8,621)10/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+2,927
DCA Master
Avg 10.0 entries/market
Consistent
43/51 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#882$2,172Vol: $70,469
🏛️ POLITICS#33,686$337Vol: $9,870
💻 TECH#3,348$264Vol: $3,570
💰 FINANCE#15,652$132Vol: $2,102
⚽ SPORTS#1,294,312$-8Vol: $1,040
📈 ECONOMICS#9,694$155Vol: $805
🎭 CULTURE#40,399$30Vol: $690

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,927
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,870
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
112
total markets
Trades
566B / 567S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Today
$-106
Vol: $304
Week
$-232
Vol: $1,596
Month
$-245
Vol: $1,596
All Time
$2,927
Vol: $88,870

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
76W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$2,927
Win Rate
79%
76W / 20L
Profit Factor
4.49x
Avg Win
$136
Avg Loss
$-136

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,676 (1.5974450609522768% of PnL)

Top Winners

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$2,133
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$1,294
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$1,249
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$801
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$526
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$385
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$275
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$266
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$257
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$251

Top Losers

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-1,539
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$-234
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$-163
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$-126
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$-47
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$-45
Will it rain in San Francisco on June 10?$-38
Will it rain in Boston on June 10?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.336
Sortino
0.321
HHI
184
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.218
Kelly %
16.3%
Half-Kelly
8.1%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
22.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
42.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2576s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active1.0 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)14.1%
High (>55c)79.7%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 7:18:05 PM12 trades$2,5106 min
4/29/2026, 11:47:14 AM3 trades$2,5000 min
6/21/2026, 8:37:25 PM2 trades$2,4200 min
6/19/2026, 8:30:53 AM9 trades$2,3365 min
5/9/2026, 2:20:25 PM4 trades$1,8901 min
6/7/2026, 3:21:34 PM17 trades$1,7437 min
7/27/2026, 5:59:24 AM1 trades$1,6260 min
4/26/2026, 8:37:16 PM14 trades$1,5850 min
6/22/2026, 4:33:14 AM5 trades$1,2374 min
6/21/2026, 6:08:49 PM4 trades$1,2260 min
6/15/2026, 5:12:25 AM3 trades$1,0460 min
5/17/2026, 7:39:32 AM11 trades$8941 min
8/3/2026, 2:24:56 PM1 trades$8720 min
6/7/2026, 5:03:27 PM2 trades$8030 min
7/15/2026, 10:07:29 AM9 trades$7560 min
4/29/2026, 8:03:16 PM2 trades$7300 min
6/8/2026, 5:58:28 PM11 trades$7244 min
5/19/2026, 7:35:29 AM8 trades$7050 min
5/5/2026, 6:01:02 AM21 trades$6710 min
5/15/2026, 9:08:05 PM6 trades$6530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
05-02
05-16
05-29
06-12
06-22
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M14.1 / H79.7