Dan.bilds

@Dan.bilds

#3,063,53634

0x567513f023f87abf061deda2c7e6dfab5466f6a6

~51d· 337 markets · 3096 tradesVol: $436,877 @Dan_bilds2026-08-04 16:20:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (151/257)14.4/20
1.00x (win $26,302 / loss $26,225)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0240.5/15
Sortino 0.0310.3/10
$+0.0004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 269 (257 markets)10/10
24/42 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 377% of peak ($7,845 / $2,081)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Whale
$191,708 invested
High Roller
$1,389/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,737$-4,836Vol: $198,301
📈 ECONOMICS#681,096$-2,282Vol: $69,583
SPORTS#1,863,304$-2,897Vol: $52,898
CRYPTO#1,619,204$-1,027Vol: $46,236
💰 FINANCE#656,223$-1,096Vol: $23,066
🌤️ WEATHER#294,751$-426Vol: $20,737
💻 TECH#258,009$-1,586Vol: $12,393
🎭 CULTURE#776,251$-85Vol: $4,688
📢 MENTIONS#159,837$-67Vol: $1,881

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14,602
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$436,877
Total Redeem
$595
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
337
total markets
Trades
1762B / 1334S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-46
Vol: $462
Month
$-46
Vol: $462
All Time
$-14,602
Vol: $436,877

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
151W / 106L events
Realized PnL
$-14,556
Win Rate
59%
151W / 106L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$174
Avg Loss
$-247

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,045 (0.6900826417891683% of PnL)

Top Winners

Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$4,911
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2,606
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2,528
Spurs vs. Knicks$2,413
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,162
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1,061
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$871
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$845
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$612
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$610

Top Losers

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-9,330
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?$-4,368
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?$-1,351
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-1,248
Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?$-858
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$-794
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-608
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$-547
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-455
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-454

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.001
Sortino
0.001
HHI
83
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
16.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.7m
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — normal for humanCV 4.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency2.4 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.76
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)18.3%
High (>55c)75.3%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 12:39:17 PM36 trades$15,7150 min
7/13/2026, 4:18:10 AM7 trades$10,2643 min
6/11/2026, 8:20:33 PM77 trades$9,6749 min
7/13/2026, 4:27:23 AM4 trades$9,3504 min
7/11/2026, 9:01:31 PM7 trades$9,3309 min
7/14/2026, 12:31:55 PM1 trades$9,2090 min
6/22/2026, 2:58:01 PM55 trades$8,47416 min
7/12/2026, 3:59:22 AM12 trades$8,3590 min
7/12/2026, 3:45:59 AM4 trades$8,0724 min
6/8/2026, 6:36:12 PM5 trades$6,6330 min
7/12/2026, 1:10:17 AM13 trades$4,7962 min
6/5/2026, 1:15:10 AM135 trades$4,76628 min
7/11/2026, 5:38:04 PM9 trades$4,6660 min
6/9/2026, 12:47:51 AM26 trades$3,2595 min
6/8/2026, 1:30:57 PM11 trades$3,1463 min
6/11/2026, 1:10:00 PM49 trades$3,10026 min
6/22/2026, 2:49:32 PM7 trades$3,0673 min
6/8/2026, 3:53:13 PM20 trades$2,9283 min
7/13/2026, 7:42:13 PM3 trades$2,7545 min
7/13/2026, 7:09:59 PM1 trades$2,7140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-09
05-31
06-09
06-17
06-26
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.4 / M18.3 / H75.3