@Backduck

#2,679,5447

0x56a34c3ef62e38aedeaeef07a6261687f9f0fef3

~44d· 51 markets · 155 tradesVol: $9,2342026-08-04 21:49:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (15/50)0/20
0.66x (win $495 / loss $748)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8100/15
Sortino -4.1700/10
$-0.1464 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1069 (50 markets)7.2/10
9/30 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 251% of peak ($421 / $168)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,375,493$-45Vol: $6,135
🏛️ POLITICS#1,409,398$-27Vol: $1,664
⚽ SPORTS#1,686,010$-104Vol: $1,088
💰 FINANCE#541,067$-5Vol: $288
🎭 CULTURE#534,867$-1Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-173
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,234
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
79B / 76S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
15W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-173
Win Rate
30%
15W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $326 (1.8885479388605837% of PnL)

Top Winners

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$221
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?$59
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?$46
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$40
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$33
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$22
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?$13
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$13
Hornets vs. Spurs$11
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$10

Top Losers

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$-130
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-54
Florian Wirtz: 1+ goals$-52
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-50
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-42
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5$-39
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?$-31
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-27
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.145
Sortino
-0.238
HHI
388
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
32.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1470s — normal for humanCV 1.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.4%
Mid (20-55c)38%
High (>55c)26.6%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 9:33:21 AM2 trades$7140 min
3/31/2026, 2:18:23 PM8 trades$1619 min
2/6/2026, 8:58:23 PM2 trades$1590 min
1/4/2026, 12:57:31 PM3 trades$1504 min
1/6/2026, 3:43:41 PM2 trades$1481 min
3/14/2026, 9:40:13 PM1 trades$1400 min
2/18/2026, 11:23:36 AM1 trades$1190 min
2/18/2026, 6:58:10 PM2 trades$1190 min
4/26/2026, 8:53:48 PM3 trades$1090 min
3/19/2026, 2:15:41 PM1 trades$1000 min
6/14/2026, 2:37:04 PM4 trades$1001 min
6/18/2026, 7:37:05 PM6 trades$951 min
3/13/2026, 9:40:35 PM2 trades$941 min
2/4/2026, 9:25:37 PM1 trades$930 min
2/11/2026, 7:57:05 PM1 trades$930 min
3/31/2025, 4:02:19 PM6 trades$851 min
2/17/2026, 10:14:57 PM2 trades$821 min
2/23/2026, 12:40:42 PM2 trades$752 min
7/1/2026, 10:16:32 PM3 trades$630 min
6/12/2026, 9:14:39 PM2 trades$600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
02-15
02-23
03-13
04-30
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 83 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.12/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.4 / M38 / H26.6