@EliottJa

#2,251,3954

0x574b9971130e92913f0866b4a5f4cefb02688ee5

~8d· 15 markets · 49 tradesVol: $7772026-08-04 21:50:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (2/10)0/20
0.06x (win $7 / loss $120)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.7860/15
Sortino -8.7280/10
$-0.4519 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1717 (10 markets)3.9/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($119 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,342,414$-16Vol: $285
💰 FINANCE#584,978$-14Vol: $235
📈 ECONOMICS#509,853$-2Vol: $95
⚽ SPORTS#863,787$-1Vol: $61
₿ CRYPTO#784,251$-0Vol: $48
📢 MENTIONS#90,195$-1Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$777
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
31B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-35
Vol: $777

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
2W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-35
Win Rate
20%
2W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7 (0.2101656196459166% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will American Express (AXP) Q2 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20B?$6
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1

Top Losers

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in June?$-77
Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week?$-15
Will Blackstone (BX) Q2 total assets under management be above $1.35T?$-13
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7.25B by July 31?$-8
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7
Will Team Spirit have the shallowest hero pool at EWC 2026?$-0
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $-0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.474
Sortino
-0.452
HHI
659
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.783
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.7%
Top-5 markets
48.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1188s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)16.1%
High (>55c)71%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 2:39:41 AM6 trades$507 min
7/13/2026, 8:01:34 AM5 trades$340 min
7/11/2026, 5:03:50 PM1 trades$290 min
7/11/2026, 8:57:41 AM1 trades$270 min
7/11/2026, 8:33:02 AM4 trades$260 min
7/12/2026, 2:12:17 AM3 trades$220 min
7/20/2026, 2:27:28 PM1 trades$220 min
7/13/2026, 6:27:16 AM2 trades$200 min
7/11/2026, 3:44:40 PM1 trades$180 min
7/12/2026, 3:43:50 AM1 trades$160 min
7/19/2026, 9:47:51 PM1 trades$150 min
11/21/2025, 9:55:57 AM2 trades$140 min
7/12/2026, 1:03:20 AM3 trades$90 min
7/12/2026, 12:50:01 AM1 trades$60 min
11/7/2025, 9:52:29 AM1 trades$50 min
11/7/2025, 10:12:17 AM1 trades$50 min
7/12/2026, 12:33:04 AM1 trades$40 min
7/12/2026, 3:32:55 AM1 trades$40 min
7/12/2026, 11:26:16 AM1 trades$30 min
7/11/2026, 9:24:17 AM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
11-21
07-11
07-12
07-13
07-19
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.9 / M16.1 / H71